HASCO(SH:600741) 东吴汽车黄细里团队·2025-05-01 14:53Core Viewpoint - The company reported its 2024 annual results and Q1 2025 results, which met expectations, indicating stable performance amidst market challenges [2]. Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved a total revenue of 168.85 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 0.15%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 6.69 billion yuan, down 7.26% year-on-year. The net profit excluding non-recurring items was 5.76 billion yuan, down 11.45% year-on-year. The gross profit margin for the year was 11.67%, a decrease of 0.78 percentage points, primarily due to downstream pressure and fluctuations in raw material costs [2]. - For Q1 2025, the company reported revenue of 40.37 billion yuan, with a quarter-on-quarter increase of 9.1% but a year-on-year decrease of 18.2%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.27 billion yuan, with a quarter-on-quarter increase of 0.6% but a year-on-year decrease of 42.7% [2]. Customer Diversification - The company has been actively diversifying its customer base, with 62.2% of revenue in 2024 coming from customers outside the SAIC Group, mitigating the impact of declining sales from SAIC. Major non-SAIC customers include Tesla Shanghai, Seres, BYD, Geely, FAW-Volkswagen, Chery, Brilliance BMW, Changan, and GAC Passenger Cars. By the end of 2024, 75% of new orders were for new energy vehicles, and over 50% were from independent brands, with strong ties to leading independent and new force customers like BYD, Seres, and Chery [3]. Cost Control - The company achieved significant cost control, with R&D expenses down 13.1% year-on-year due to reduced ineffective investments, and sales expenses down 13.6% due to optimized logistics costs. Financial expenses increased by 436.9% year-on-year due to exchange losses, which are considered a short-term factor. The net profit margin for the year was 3.96%, a decrease of 0.3 percentage points, with the decline being less than the fluctuation in gross profit [4]. Cash Flow and Dividends - The operating cash flow for 2024 was 8.14 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 28.1%, significantly impacted by the collection cycle. However, Q1 2025 saw a substantial improvement to 2.07 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 68.8%. The company plans to distribute dividends of 2.52 billion yuan in 2024, an increase from the previous year, with a payout ratio of 38% [6]. Profit Forecast and Investment Rating - The company maintains revenue forecasts of 173.1 billion yuan for 2025 and 182.6 billion yuan for 2026, with an expected revenue of 187.1 billion yuan in 2027, representing year-on-year growth rates of 2.5%, 5.5%, and 2.5%, respectively. Due to intense competition in the automotive market and significant supply chain cost pressures, the net profit forecasts for 2025 and 2026 have been revised down to 7.1 billion yuan and 7.7 billion yuan, respectively [7].