FOTON(SH:600166) 东吴汽车黄细里团队·2025-05-02 15:31Core Viewpoint - The company has shown significant growth in revenue and profit in Q1 2025, indicating a positive trend in the commercial vehicle industry, particularly in the heavy-duty truck segment [2][3][7]. Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 14.8 billion yuan, with year-on-year growth of 70.1% in net profit attributable to shareholders, and a quarter-on-quarter turnaround from losses [2]. - The gross profit margin decreased to 10.9%, with a reduction in expense ratios for sales, management, and R&D [4]. - Non-recurring gains and investment income saw significant increases, with non-recurring gains reaching 207 million yuan, primarily due to asset disposals [5]. Market Position - The company’s market share in the heavy-duty truck segment increased significantly, with Q1 2025 sales of 36,000 units, representing a year-on-year increase of 19.4% [3]. - The average selling price of trucks rose to 101,000 yuan, reflecting an increase of 42.0% year-on-year [3]. Future Outlook - The commercial vehicle industry is expected to recover, with the company planning to achieve a revenue target of 68 billion yuan in 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 42.6% [7]. - The elimination of losses from long-term equity investments is anticipated to positively impact the company's performance moving forward [7]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company maintains profit forecasts for 2025-2026 at 1.666 billion yuan and 2.044 billion yuan respectively, with an estimated EPS of 0.21 and 0.26 yuan [8]. - The current valuation is considered low, with expectations of recovery in the industry, leading to a "buy" rating for the company [8].