lu'an EED(SH:601699) 光大证券研究·2025-05-05 13:53Core Viewpoint - The company reported a significant decline in revenue and net profit for 2024, with a continued downward trend in Q1 2025, primarily due to falling coal prices and market conditions [3][4]. Financial Performance - In 2024, the company's operating revenue was 35.85 billion yuan, down 16.9% year-on-year, and the net profit attributable to shareholders was 2.45 billion yuan, down 69.1% year-on-year [3]. - For Q1 2025, the operating revenue was 6.97 billion yuan, a decrease of 19.5% year-on-year and 24.3% quarter-on-quarter, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 660 million yuan, down 49.0% year-on-year [3]. Coal Price Trends - The average price of Shanxi Luocheng blown coal in 2024 was 1,099 yuan/ton, down 20.1% year-on-year, and further decreased to 921 yuan/ton in Q1 2025, down 16.4% year-on-year and 13.6% quarter-on-quarter [4]. - The comprehensive selling price of the company's commercial coal in Q1 2025 was 543 yuan/ton, down 21.3% year-on-year [4]. Production and Capacity - In 2024, the company's raw coal production was 57.28 million tons, down 5.2% year-on-year, while commercial coal sales were 52.16 million tons, also down 5.2% year-on-year [5]. - In Q1 2025, raw coal production increased to 13.57 million tons, up 2.5% year-on-year, and commercial coal sales were 11.87 million tons, up 0.5% year-on-year [5]. - The company has obtained exploration rights for coal in the Shama block, increasing coal resources by over 800 million tons, with planned mining capacity of approximately 8.5 million tons [5]. Strategic Initiatives - The company plans to maintain coal production at around 50 million tons in 2025, aiming for operating revenue exceeding 30 billion yuan [6]. - Initiatives to enhance quality and efficiency include benchmarking, cost reduction, and management improvements [6]. - The company plans to distribute a dividend of 0.41 yuan per share, with a payout ratio of 50%, corresponding to a dividend yield of 3.8% based on the closing price on April 30 [6].