净资产收益率比成长性更重要！

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes that Return on Equity (ROE) is a more critical indicator for stock selection than growth, as highlighted by Warren Buffett and Charlie Munger in their shareholder letters [2][3]. Group 1: Importance of ROE - Companies that can maintain high ROE typically possess long-term competitive advantages, often referred to as "moats," which are essential for future performance [3]. - From a practical investment perspective, in the absence of secondary market pricing, the only goal for shareholders is the return on equity, which will approximate the long-term return rate [3]. - The notion that a lack of growth leads to stagnant stock valuations overlooks the fact that sustainable competitive advantages make it difficult for companies to remain stagnant [3][4]. Group 2: Growth and Valuation - Even in industries perceived to be stagnant, such as liquor and home appliances, companies like Moutai and Meidi have continued to achieve growth and increasing profits over the past decade [3][4]. - The existence of an enduring industry allows for moderate growth driven by improved production efficiency and inflation, which benefits companies in competitive positions [4]. - The ability to predict high growth is complex, as past performance does not guarantee future results, and many high-growth companies have faced sudden downturns [4]. Group 3: Pricing and Investment Strategy - The key to profitability is not merely the increase in valuation but the price at which investments are made; for instance, Gree's PE ratio increased from 6x in 2014 to 17x in 2018, demonstrating that low growth can still yield significant returns if purchased at a low price [5]. - Long-term holders of companies like Moutai have achieved returns close to the net asset return rate, despite the company never trading at 1x PB, indicating that brand and market position are critical value drivers not reflected on the balance sheet [7][8]. - High growth does not always correlate with high ROE, as many companies pursuing aggressive growth strategies do not achieve favorable economic outcomes [8].