Workflow
英伟达财务模型分析--钱都挣在了哪里?

Core Viewpoint - Nvidia's Q1 financial report indicates strong revenue growth driven by data center and gaming segments, despite challenges from inventory write-downs related to the H20 chip [1][22][25] Data Center Business - In Q1, Nvidia's data center revenue reached $39.11 billion, a year-over-year increase of 73.3%, primarily driven by the Blackwell product line [2][4] - The data center segment's revenue is projected to grow significantly, with estimates of $100.69 billion for FY2024 and $152.5 billion for FY2025, reflecting a compound annual growth rate of approximately 208% from FY2022 [4][9] - The product mix is shifting, with the H100/H200 series expected to dominate revenue contributions in the coming years, while the A100's share declines [6][9] Gaming Business - The gaming segment experienced fluctuations, with revenue of $3.375 billion in FY2022, surging to $11.186 billion in FY2023, and slightly declining to $9.781 billion in FY2024 [12][15] - GeForce products remain the core of the gaming business, contributing 80%-85% of revenue, with expectations of $9.536 billion in FY2025 [13][15] - Future forecasts indicate potential revenue of $14.043 billion in FY2026, but with risks from competition and market saturation [15][16] Automotive Business - Nvidia's automotive revenue has grown from $566 million in FY2022 to an expected $2.42 billion in FY2025, driven by demand for autonomous driving and AI applications [18][20] - The DRIVE platform is central to this growth, with significant orders from over 25 automakers, and projections of $3.845 billion in FY2026 [19][20] China Market Impact - Recent U.S. export restrictions on the H20 chip have significantly impacted Nvidia's business in China, leading to a $4.5 billion inventory write-down [22][24] - Despite these challenges, global demand for AI chips remains strong, with Nvidia's infrastructure still in high demand [22][23] Financial Guidance - For Q2 FY2026, Nvidia expects revenue to reach $45 billion, with a GAAP gross margin of 71.8%, despite the anticipated impact of the H20 chip ban [25]