摩根士丹利：英伟达NVL72出货量

Core Viewpoint - The report from Morgan Stanley highlights a significant increase in the global production of GB200 NVL72 racks, driven by the surging demand for AI computing, particularly in cloud computing and data center sectors [1][2]. Group 1: Production Forecast - The global total production of GB200 NVL72 racks is estimated to reach 2,000 to 2,500 units by May 2025, a notable increase from the previous estimate of 1,000 to 1,500 units in April [1]. - The overall production for the second quarter is expected to reach 5,000 to 6,000 units, indicating a robust supply chain response to market demand [1]. Group 2: Company Performance - Quanta shipped approximately 400 GB200 racks in May, a slight increase from 300 to 400 units in April, with monthly revenue reaching about 160 billion New Taiwan Dollars, a year-on-year increase of 58% [2]. - Wistron demonstrated a strong growth trajectory, shipping around 900 to 1,000 GB200 computing trays in May, a nearly sixfold increase from 150 units in April, with revenue growth of 162%, reaching 208.406 billion New Taiwan Dollars [2]. - Hon Hai shipped nearly 1,000 GB200 racks in May, with a forecast of delivering 3,000 to 4,000 racks in the second quarter, despite some decline in its cloud and networking business due to traditional server shipment slowdowns [2]. Group 3: Market Dynamics - The actual delivery volume of GB200 racks may be lower than the reported shipment figures due to the need for further assembly of Wistron's L10 computing trays into complete L11 racks, which involves additional testing and integration time [3]. - Morgan Stanley ranks the preference for downstream AI server manufacturers as Giga-Byte, Hon Hai, Quanta, Wistron, and Wiwynn, with Giga-Byte being favored for its potential in GPU demand and the server market [3]. - A report from Tianfeng Securities indicates that major hyperscale cloud providers are deploying nearly 1,000 NVL72 cabinets weekly, with the shipment pace continuing to accelerate [3].