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周观点 | 车企承诺降低账期 整零关系走向双赢【民生汽车 崔琰团队】
BYDBYD(SZ:002594) 汽车琰究·2025-06-15 10:04

Core Viewpoint - The automotive industry is experiencing a shift towards a more collaborative relationship between manufacturers and suppliers, with a focus on reducing payment terms to enhance cash flow and stability in the supply chain [5][9][10]. Weekly Data - In the first week of June 2025, passenger car sales reached 362,000 units, representing a year-on-year increase of 12.4% but a month-on-month decrease of 22.3%. New energy vehicle sales were 202,000 units, up 18.9% year-on-year and down 18.4% month-on-month, with a penetration rate of 55.7%, an increase of 2.6 percentage points from the previous month [2][40]. Market Performance - The automotive sector underperformed the market in the week of June 9-13, 2025, with a decline of 0.37%, ranking 18th among sub-industries. Commercial vehicles, motorcycles, and other segments saw increases of 9.38%, 0.95%, and 0.56%, respectively, while passenger cars, automotive services, and auto parts declined by 0.99%, 0.88%, and 1.29% [3][24]. Investment Recommendations - The focus is on high-quality domestic brands that are accelerating in smart technology and globalization, with recommendations including Geely, BYD, Xiaopeng Motors, and others. In the parts sector, specific companies such as Top Group and New Spring are highlighted for their potential [4][7][12][15]. Industry Trends - Multiple automakers, including Dongfeng and Geely, have committed to reducing supplier payment terms to within 60 days, responding to new regulations aimed at supporting small and medium enterprises. This shift indicates a move from price competition to a focus on credit and management efficiency, potentially benefiting the supply chain and enhancing global competitiveness [5][9][10]. New Energy Vehicle Policies - The government has extended and expanded the scope of subsidies for vehicle replacement, including for vehicles meeting the National IV emission standards. This is expected to stabilize demand and support the transition to new energy vehicles [11][36][37]. Robotics and AI Developments - Huawei's upcoming developer conference is anticipated to catalyze advancements in embodied intelligence, with a focus on hardware innovations such as dexterous hands and lightweight materials. The industry is expected to see significant developments in AI and robotics, particularly in the automotive sector [6][16]. Motorcycle Market Insights - The motorcycle market is witnessing growth, particularly in the mid-to-large displacement segment, with sales of over 93,000 units in April 2025, a year-on-year increase of 28%. The market is expected to benefit from the introduction of new models and brands [17][19][20]. Heavy Truck Market Dynamics - The heavy truck market is experiencing a recovery driven by new policies that expand the scope of trade-in subsidies, which are expected to stimulate demand for new vehicles. In May 2025, heavy truck sales were 83,000 units, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 6% [21][22][23].