Arm plc(US:ARM) 是说芯语·2025-06-16 11:29Core Viewpoint - Arm is aggressively expanding into the custom chip design market, which poses a significant threat to its downstream partners and highlights its dominance in the semiconductor IP sector [1][3]. Group 1: Arm's Business Strategy - Arm plans to offer self-developed chips to clients, a move that has been perceived as exploitative towards its partners [1]. - The company has increased its licensing fees by three times in the past six months, further tightening its grip on downstream manufacturers [2]. - Arm's revenue heavily relies on a few major clients, with 56% of its income coming from the top five customers, making it vulnerable to potential client defections [3]. Group 2: Downstream Manufacturers' Challenges - Downstream manufacturers face high licensing fees and restrictive agreements, such as the "one generation, one purchase" model, which limits their ability to innovate and adapt [2][4]. - Many domestic manufacturers are reportedly surrendering to Arm's demands, despite the high costs associated with licensing [4][5]. - The dependency on Arm's technology has created a widening performance gap between domestic chips and international counterparts [4]. Group 3: Potential Shift to RISC-V - There is a growing necessity for domestic manufacturers to break free from Arm's control, especially for companies involved in national security and innovation [6]. - RISC-V is emerging as a viable alternative to Arm, offering an open-source model that contrasts with Arm's closed ecosystem, thus providing greater autonomy for developers [6][7]. - The increasing investment in RISC-V technology by major companies indicates a shift in the industry, as they seek to reduce reliance on Arm [7][8].