AI点燃晶圆代工新周期

Core Viewpoint - The global semiconductor foundry 2.0 market revenue is projected to grow by 13% year-on-year in Q1 2025, reaching $72.29 billion, driven by the surge in demand for AI and high-performance computing (HPC) chips [1][4]. Group 1: Market Dynamics - The traditional semiconductor foundry model (foundry 1.0) is evolving into a technology integration platform, emphasizing vertical coordination and faster innovation, influenced by AI trends and system-level optimization [1]. - TSMC leads the market with a share of 35.3% in Q1 2025, achieving approximately 30% year-on-year revenue growth, followed by Intel and Samsung [4][6]. Group 2: OSAT and Advanced Packaging - OSAT suppliers are becoming a critical segment in the foundry 2.0 supply chain, with a nearly 7% year-on-year growth in Q1 2025, benefiting from TSMC's excess demand for AI-related CoWoS [4][5]. - Advanced packaging demand is increasing, with key players like ASE, SPIL, and Amkor enhancing their capacities [4]. Group 3: Non-Memory IDM and Light Mask Suppliers - Non-memory IDMs such as NXP, Infineon, and Renesas are experiencing a decline in revenue by 3% in Q1 2025, particularly in the automotive and industrial sectors, with recovery expected to be delayed until the second half of 2025 [5]. - Light mask suppliers are benefiting from the adoption of 2nm EUV technology and the increasing complexity of AI/Chiplet designs [5]. Group 4: Future Outlook - The foundry 2.0 ecosystem is expected to transition from a linear manufacturing model to a seamlessly integrated value chain, enhancing collaboration between design, manufacturing, and advanced packaging [8].