ZJJH(SH:600160) 光大证券研究·2025-07-10 16:07Core Viewpoint - The company expects significant growth in net profit for the first half of 2025, driven by a favorable market environment for refrigerants and strong demand [2][3]. Group 1: Company Performance - The company anticipates a net profit of 1.97-2.13 billion yuan for H1 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 136%-155% [2]. - For Q2 2025, the expected net profit is between 1.16-1.32 billion yuan, showing a year-on-year growth of 122%-152% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 44%-63% [2]. - The average price of fluorochemical raw materials is projected to be 3,629 yuan/ton, up 10% year-on-year, with a sales volume of 188,000 tons, an increase of 12% [3]. Group 2: Industry Outlook - The refrigerant industry is experiencing a sustained high level of prosperity due to the reduction of production quotas for second-generation refrigerants (HCFCs) and the implementation of production quotas for third-generation refrigerants (HFCs) starting in 2024 [3][4]. - The average price of refrigerants is expected to be 39,372 yuan/ton, a 62% increase year-on-year, despite a 4% decrease in sales volume to 15.5 tons [3]. - The Ministry of Ecology and Environment has announced a reduction in production and internal use quotas for second-generation refrigerants, aligning with expectations, while third-generation refrigerants have seen an unexpected increase in quotas [4][5].