TCL TECH.(SZ:000100) 光大证券研究·2025-07-12 13:27Core Viewpoint - The company is expected to achieve revenue growth in the first half of 2025, with significant increases in net profit, particularly in the semiconductor display business, while facing challenges in the solar energy sector [2][4]. Group 1: Financial Performance - The company forecasts revenue between 826 billion to 906 billion, representing a year-on-year growth of 3% to 13% [2] - The expected net profit attributable to shareholders is between 18 billion to 20 billion, showing a year-on-year increase of 81% to 101% [2] - The non-recurring net profit is projected to be between 15 billion to 16.5 billion, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 168% to 195% [2] - The semiconductor display business is anticipated to achieve a net profit exceeding 46 billion, with a year-on-year increase of over 70% [2] Group 2: Business Development - The company is optimizing its panel product structure, with a focus on large-size displays driving performance growth [3] - The supply-side landscape in the large-size display sector is improving, with stable product prices and increased demand [3] - The T9 production capacity is ramping up successfully, leading to significant growth in IT product sales and revenue [3] - The OLED high-end strategy is yielding results, with differentiated products supplied to major clients [3] - The acquisition of a 21.5311% stake in Shenzhen China Star Optoelectronics Technology Co., Ltd. has been completed, enhancing the company's competitive edge [3] Group 3: Industry Challenges - The global photovoltaic installation remains resilient, but the domestic distributed market is experiencing a short-term surge followed by a demand decline since May [4] - The industry faces operational pressures due to imbalances in supply and demand across various segments, leading to expected net losses for TCL Zhonghuan [4] - Despite challenges, TCL Zhonghuan is focusing on strategic implementation, operational improvements, cost control, and organizational changes, maintaining positive operating cash flow for the first half of 2025 [4]