Nvidia(US:NVDA) 硬AI·2025-07-16 07:01Core Viewpoint - The resumption of H20 chip sales by NVIDIA to China is expected to have a positive impact on the Chinese internet data center (IDC) industry and related companies, potentially boosting NVIDIA's revenue significantly and benefiting the entire AI semiconductor supply chain [1][4][15]. Group 1: Impact on Chinese IDC Industry - Analysts from Citigroup and Jefferies believe that the restart of H20 chip sales will positively affect the Chinese IDC sector, with a bullish outlook on related stocks [5][4]. - Following the announcement, stocks of major cloud service providers such as Alibaba and Kingsoft Cloud saw significant gains, with Alibaba's Hong Kong shares rising nearly 7% and Kingsoft Cloud's U.S. shares increasing by 18.7% [2][4]. Group 2: Financial Implications for NVIDIA - Bernstein estimates that for every $10 billion in revenue recovered in the Chinese market, NVIDIA's earnings per share (EPS) could increase by approximately $0.25 [9]. - The resumption of sales could help NVIDIA recover a substantial portion of the $15 billion in data center revenue previously at risk, including an anticipated $4-5 billion in revenue for the second half of the year [8][9]. - Melius Research has raised NVIDIA's target price by 43%, projecting that the company's market value could exceed $5 trillion due to the H20 chip sales resumption [1][15]. Group 3: Broader Market Effects - The approval of H20 chip sales is seen as beneficial not only for NVIDIA but also for the entire AI semiconductor supply chain and Chinese tech platforms developing AI capabilities [17]. - The U.S. government's decision to allow NVIDIA to sell H20 chips to China is viewed as a positive development for U.S.-China relations, with implications for ongoing negotiations between the two countries [17][18].