H20库存仅有90万颗，中国需求180万颗

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the easing of export controls on NVIDIA's H20 GPU to China, highlighting the ongoing demand for AI GPUs in the Chinese market and the potential impact on NVIDIA's inventory and sales strategy [3][4]. Group 1: NVIDIA's H20 GPU and Market Demand - The U.S. has relaxed strict export controls on NVIDIA's H20 GPU designed for the Chinese market, which is part of a broader compromise related to China's rare earth magnet export restrictions [3]. - NVIDIA claims to have received assurances from U.S. officials to obtain necessary authorizations to resume H20 GPU sales to China [4]. - Jefferies estimates that NVIDIA currently has between 600,000 to 900,000 H20 GPUs in inventory, while the demand in China is around 1.8 million units [4]. Group 2: Capital Expenditure Projections - Jefferies has raised its forecast for AI capital expenditure in China by 40% this year to $108 billion, and increased the 2025-2030 forecast by 28% to $806 billion [5]. Group 3: Repair Market for NVIDIA GPUs in China - Due to U.S. sanctions limiting NVIDIA GPU supply, repair shops in China are thriving, focusing on older models like H100 and A100 GPUs [6][7]. - Repair costs for GPUs can reach up to $2,400, with some shops repairing around 500 chips monthly [7]. - Despite the sanctions, the demand for NVIDIA's GPUs remains high in China, as local alternatives like Huawei's products are limited [7].