拼多多仍有希望实现两位数上涨？

Core Viewpoint - Pinduoduo's stock price is expected to achieve double-digit growth despite existing concerns, with its performance ranking second only to Alibaba among peers [1][2]. Group 1: Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, online retail sales are projected to grow by 8.5%, surpassing the 5% growth in consumer goods retail sales, indicating a positive outlook for Pinduoduo [6]. - Analysts may raise the full-year revenue forecast for 2025, anticipating a year-on-year growth of 9.9%, with a potential 18.5% increase in revenue for the current year [7]. - Pinduoduo's first-quarter revenue for 2025 showed a year-on-year growth of 10%, although the company faces challenges in the domestic retail market [6][7]. Group 2: Profitability and Investment - Non-GAAP operating profit and net profit both declined by 36% and 45% respectively in Q1 2025, attributed to strategic investments aimed at supporting merchants and consumers [7][8]. - Analysts predict that earnings per share (EPS) will recover to double-digit growth starting next year, despite the current decline [8]. - The expected non-GAAP P/E ratio for Pinduoduo is 13.56, significantly lower than its five-year average of 71.8, making it more attractive compared to Alibaba and JD [10][11]. Group 3: Market Position and Analyst Sentiment - Pinduoduo's stock is considered to be at a relatively low level, providing a potential buying opportunity [2][11]. - The decline in P/E ratio, especially compared to historical levels, suggests a favorable entry point for investors, with analysts upgrading the stock rating to "Buy" [11].