Core Viewpoint - Hydrogen fuel cell vehicles (FCEVs) are entering the market alongside battery electric vehicles (BEVs), but their sales remain significantly lower, with only 12,866 FCEVs registered globally in 2024 compared to 10.8 million BEVs [1] Group 1: Market Participation and Development - BMW plans to launch its first hydrogen fuel cell vehicle by 2028, while Toyota continues to lead in FCEV sales with its Mirai model [1][7] - Other manufacturers like Hyundai and Honda are also involved in the FCEV market, with Honda launching its CR-V e:FCEV in 2024 [1] - BMW has been cautiously producing small batches of hydrogen fuel cell vehicles since 2023, with the iX5 Hydrogen model already demonstrating reliable performance [1] Group 2: Infrastructure Challenges - The lack of hydrogen refueling stations is a significant barrier to FCEV adoption, with the number of stations in the UK decreasing from 15 in 2019 to only 4 by 2025 [2] - In contrast, the UK has a robust network of public charging points for BEVs, with 39,733 charging points available by May 2025 [2] - The high cost of building hydrogen refueling stations, estimated between $1.5 million to $2 million, poses a challenge for widespread infrastructure development [5] Group 3: Strategic Insights - Some industry experts argue that neglecting hydrogen infrastructure is a strategic mistake if the goal is to decarbonize road transport [3] - A complementary relationship exists between FCEVs and BEVs, suggesting that investing in both charging and refueling infrastructure could lower overall costs [4] - The development of hydrogen fuel cell technology could provide resilience against resource shortages associated with battery production [4] Group 4: Future Prospects - BMW is optimistic that by 2028, infrastructure improvements will make hydrogen a viable option for consumers [8] - The decision on where to launch the hydrogen vehicle will depend on local infrastructure conditions, with the UK currently lacking the necessary support [9][10] - Market demand for hydrogen vehicles exists, as indicated by surveys, but translating this interest into actual sales remains a challenge [11][12]
宝马押注氢能交通,2028年推出首款量产车