瑞幸咖啡Q2净营收同比增长47%超预期，净利润同比增长44%

Core Viewpoint - Luckin Coffee has demonstrated a strong recovery in Q2 2024, with significant improvements in key performance indicators, particularly a same-store sales growth rate of 13.4%, contrasting sharply with a decline of -20.9% in the same period last year [3][4]. Financial Performance - The company reported a net revenue of 12.36 billion yuan in Q2, representing a year-on-year increase of 47.1%, surpassing the estimated 11.16 billion yuan [4]. - GAAP operating profit reached 1.70 billion yuan, up 61.8% year-on-year, while net profit was 1.25 billion yuan, reflecting a 43.6% increase [4]. - Adjusted earnings per ADS for the quarter were 4.40 yuan [4]. Store Expansion - Luckin Coffee accelerated its store expansion, adding 2,109 new stores, bringing the total to 26,206, which is a 31.3% increase from 19,961 stores in the same period last year [5][10]. - The number of direct-operated stores reached 16,968, while franchise stores totaled 9,238 [5]. Operational Metrics - Direct-operated stores achieved a same-store sales growth of 13.4%, a significant acceleration from 8.1% in the previous quarter [6]. - The average monthly active customers reached 91.7 million, marking a year-on-year growth of 31.6% [6]. Profitability - The operating profit margin for direct-operated stores was stable at 21.0%, slightly down from 21.5% year-on-year [7][11]. - GAAP operating margin improved to 13.8%, attributed to a decrease in the proportion of material costs relative to revenue [15]. Cash Flow - Operating cash flow was robust at 2.56 billion yuan, with total cash and equivalents amounting to 8.17 billion yuan, providing ample funding for business expansion [8]. Growth Dynamics and Challenges - While the 47.1% revenue growth is impressive, it heavily relies on rapid store expansion, raising questions about the sustainability of this growth model [9][10]. - The significant increase in delivery costs, which surged by 175.1% to 1.67 billion yuan, poses a potential risk to profit margins [16]. Strategic Outlook - The CEO emphasized the commitment to expanding market share and believes that these capabilities will drive sustainable long-term growth [17]. - Key issues for investors include the diminishing marginal returns of store expansion in a saturating market, the impact of rising delivery costs on profitability, and the potential for overseas expansion to create new growth opportunities [16][17].