Group 1 - The article discusses the significant changes in trade policies under President Trump's return to the White House, particularly focusing on new tariffs that may become a long-term fixture in the market [2] - Analysts are closely monitoring the semiconductor and pharmaceutical industries for potential tariffs, especially the "232 clause" which may impact chip manufacturers and related equipment [2] - Bernstein analysts indicate that the White House is considering including semiconductors and manufacturing in the new tariff list, which could significantly affect wafer foundries and packaging testing industries, with TSMC being a key supplier [2] Group 2 - The "reciprocal tariffs" policy will impose a 15% tariff on products from major economies like the EU, Japan, and South Korea, while other countries with trade surpluses with the US will face a 10% tariff [3] - Barclays highlights that Singapore, maintaining a 10% tariff rate, is positioned as the biggest winner in Asia, but still faces risks from semiconductor and pharmaceutical tariffs [3] - According to Barclays, Vietnam has the highest exposure to US tariffs with a 2.3% weighted average tariff rate, followed by Thailand, Malaysia, and South Korea, all within the 1.0-1.4% range [3] Group 3 - The article notes that countries like the Philippines, Indonesia, and India have relatively lower exposure to US tariffs, with risk levels at 3.1%, 2.3%, and 2.0% respectively [4] - The data suggests that a significant portion of the economic value in these countries relies on exports subject to US tariffs, indicating they would be heavily impacted if the US expands its tariff list [4]
芯片关税,意味着什么?