上汽集团 | 7月:自主品牌销量亮眼 尚界H5催化可期【民生汽车 崔琰团队】

Core Viewpoint - SAIC Motor Corporation reported a significant increase in wholesale sales for July 2025, with a total of 338,000 units sold, marking a year-on-year increase of 34.2% and a cumulative sales figure of 2.39 million units for the first seven months of 2025, reflecting a 15.0% increase compared to the same period last year [2][4]. Sales Performance - In July 2025, SAIC Volkswagen sold 80,000 units, with a cumulative sales of 572,000 units for the first seven months, showing a year-on-year decrease of 3.6% [3]. - SAIC General sold 42,000 units in July, with a cumulative total of 287,000 units for the first seven months, representing a year-on-year increase of 19.4% [3]. - SAIC Passenger Vehicles sold 60,000 units in July, with a cumulative total of 428,000 units for the first seven months, reflecting an 11.0% year-on-year increase [3]. - SAIC-GM-Wuling sold 121,000 units in July, with a cumulative total of 874,000 units for the first seven months, marking a 35.3% year-on-year increase [3]. - SAIC New Energy sold 117,000 units in July, with a cumulative total of 764,000 units for the first seven months, achieving a remarkable year-on-year increase of 43.5% [3]. - Overseas sales reached 82,000 units in July, with a cumulative total of 576,000 units for the first seven months, showing a slight year-on-year increase of 1.1% [3]. Strategic Developments - SAIC has partnered with Huawei to launch the first SUV model, the Shangjie H5, expected to be released in September 2025, which will feature Huawei's ADS 4 technology [5]. - The company is undergoing significant management changes as part of its state-owned enterprise reform, focusing on domestic market and new energy vehicle development [6]. Financial Forecast - The company is projected to benefit from state-owned enterprise reforms, with expected revenues of 687.76 billion yuan, 722.06 billion yuan, and 776.21 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [7]. - Net profit attributable to shareholders is forecasted to be 12.27 billion yuan, 14.07 billion yuan, and 16.67 billion yuan for the same years, with corresponding EPS of 1.06 yuan, 1.22 yuan, and 1.44 yuan [7][8].