Tesla(US:TSLA) 华尔街见闻·2025-08-19 10:16Core Viewpoint - The autonomous taxi technology is on the verge of a historic breakthrough, ready for commercialization due to advancements in generative AI, massive capital competition, and geopolitical factors [1][2]. Group 1: Technological Advancements - The rapid development of generative AI has led to significant improvements in autonomous driving technology, making large-scale commercialization feasible, akin to the transformative impact of the iPhone in 2007 [2]. - Major investments from tech giants like Tesla and Google Waymo, as well as traditional automakers, are accelerating the maturity of autonomous driving technology, creating intense competition [2]. Group 2: Geopolitical Factors - Governments worldwide are prioritizing the development of autonomous driving capabilities as a key area for future transportation and technological competitiveness, leading to supportive policies [3]. Group 3: Market Trends - Global electric vehicle sales continue to grow robustly, with June sales increasing by 30% year-on-year to 1.26 million units, driven primarily by the Chinese market, which saw a 43% increase [4]. - Morgan Stanley maintains an "overweight" rating on Tesla with a target price of $410, indicating a potential upside of 28% from current levels, citing Tesla's advantages in autonomous driving technology and data accumulation [4]. Group 4: Impact on Automotive Industry - The rise of autonomous taxi services may fundamentally change traditional car ownership models, with consumers likely to prefer on-demand mobility services over purchasing private vehicles, which will have profound implications for the entire automotive supply chain [8].