SAILUN GROUP(SH:601058) 汽车琰究·2025-08-21 01:55Core Viewpoint - The company is expected to face challenges in profitability due to trade barriers and raw material costs, but it is also making strides in global capacity expansion and innovative product development, particularly with its "Liquid Gold" tire technology [2][4][5][6]. Group 1: Performance Forecast - The company disclosed a profit forecast for H1 2025, expecting a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.83 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 14.94%, and a non-recurring net profit of 1.81 billion yuan, down 11.79% year-on-year [2]. - For Q2 2025, the company anticipates a net profit of 792 million yuan, representing a year-on-year decline of 23.78% and a quarter-on-quarter decline of 29.18% [4]. Group 2: Analysis and Judgments - The decline in profits is attributed to a 25% tariff on parts exported to the U.S. and a 4% year-on-year decrease in the weighted average index of raw materials for H1 2025, with costs expected to remain stable compared to H1 2024 [4]. - The company is focusing on optimizing overseas production capacity and promoting high-value-added products to mitigate the impact of these challenges [4]. Group 3: Global Expansion and Product Development - The company has a production capacity exceeding 70 million tires, with facilities in various locations including Qingdao, Dongying, and Vietnam, and is on track to meet its mid-to-long-term capacity goals [5]. - The company has established partnerships with major domestic and international firms, enhancing its presence in the non-road tire sector [5]. - The "Liquid Gold" tire technology has been recognized for its performance improvements, including a reduction in rolling resistance and enhanced durability, contributing to increased brand strength [6]. Group 4: Financial Projections - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are estimated at 36.54 billion, 41.85 billion, and 46.16 billion yuan, respectively, with net profits expected to be 4.21 billion, 4.93 billion, and 5.76 billion yuan [7]. - The earnings per share (EPS) are projected to be 1.28, 1.50, and 1.75 yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 10, 9, and 8 [7][8].