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研报 | 英伟达机器人“新大脑”推升芯片市场规模有望于2028年达4,800万美元以上

Core Insights - NVIDIA's Jetson Thor is recognized as the physical intelligence core for robots, featuring a Blackwell GPU and 128 GB memory, achieving 2070 FP4 TFLOPS AI computing power, which is 7.5 times that of the previous Jetson Orin [2] - The humanoid robot chip market is expected to exceed $48 million by 2028, driven by the adoption of advanced robotics by companies like Agility Robotics, Boston Dynamics, and Amazon [2] Industry Insights - The development of humanoid robots varies by country, focusing on pilot projects in the short term, scaling manufacturing and services in the medium term, and aiming for household integration in the long term, with high-level SoCs being crucial during this phase [6] - TrendForce's previous report indicated that global humanoid robots are not expected to stabilize in households until around 2032, at which point sales could exceed 100,000 units [6] - Despite the powerful performance of the NVIDIA Jetson Thor series, its development kit is priced at $3,499, significantly higher than the previous Jetson Orin's $1,499, which may hinder widespread adoption [6] - The industry trend aims to lower humanoid robot prices for broader promotion, suggesting that companies planning simpler tasks may opt for more affordable chips [6] - NVIDIA may leverage its hardware-software integration advantage to launch more software platforms for Jetson Thor, enhancing development efficiency and task execution, thereby increasing the value of AI computing power [6]