英伟达2Q依然强劲，但不及买方预期

Core Viewpoint - Nvidia reported record revenue of $46.743 billion for Q2 FY26, a year-over-year increase of 56%, slightly above analyst expectations of $46.23 billion [1][2] - The company achieved a net profit of $26.422 billion, up 59% year-over-year, exceeding market expectations of $23.465 billion [1] - Nvidia's gross margin decreased year-over-year but improved quarter-over-quarter, standing at 72.4% for Q2 [1] Revenue Breakdown by Business Segment - Data Center revenue reached $41.096 billion, a 56% increase year-over-year, slightly below analyst expectations [2] - Compute segment generated $33.844 billion, a 50% increase year-over-year, impacted by a $4 billion decrease in H20 sales [3] - Networking revenue surged to $7.252 billion, up 98% year-over-year, driven by products like GB200 and GB300 [3] - Gaming revenue hit $4.287 billion, a 49% increase year-over-year, boosted by Blackwell product sales [3] - Automotive revenue grew by 69% year-over-year to $586 million, indicating positive trends in the autonomous driving platform [4] - OEM and Other revenue reached $173 million, a 56% increase year-over-year, exceeding market expectations [4] Market Guidance and Shareholder Returns - For Q3 FY26, Nvidia expects revenue of $54 billion ±2%, above market expectations of $53.467 billion [5] - The company returned $24.3 billion to shareholders in the first half of FY26 through stock buybacks and dividends, with an additional $60 billion stock buyback approved [5] - Nvidia's CEO indicated potential for $2-5 billion in additional H20 revenue if geopolitical issues are resolved [5] Challenges and Opportunities - Nvidia faces challenges from ASICs (Application-Specific Integrated Circuits) but maintains an advantage with its versatile GPU offerings [6] - The company is positioned as a comprehensive "AI infrastructure" provider, not just a GPU manufacturer [3][6] China Market Insights - Revenue from the Chinese market (excluding Taiwan) was $2.769 billion, down 24.5% year-over-year [7] - Potential opportunities in the Chinese market are estimated at $50 billion, with expected annual growth of 50% [7] Capital Expenditure and Market Outlook - The top four hyperscale cloud providers are projected to spend $600 billion on capital expenditures this year [9] - AI infrastructure spending is expected to reach $3-4 trillion by the end of 2030, reshaping market expectations for Nvidia's valuation [9] Product Launches and Future Demand - The Blackwell Ultra began shipping in Q2, with increased production expected in Q3 [10] - Nvidia anticipates over $20 billion in sovereign AI revenue this year, more than doubling year-over-year [10] - The shift towards "Reasoning AI" and "Agentic AI" is expected to drive significant future demand for computing power [11]