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【2025年半年度报告点评/拓普集团】25Q2业绩环比改善,热管理业务向液冷拓展

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a revenue of 12.95 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, reflecting a year-on-year decrease in net profit, indicating challenges in profitability despite a slight revenue growth [3][4]. Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 12.935 billion yuan, up 5.83% year-on-year, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.295 billion yuan, down 11.08% year-on-year [3]. - The Q2 2025 revenue was 7.167 billion yuan, showing a year-on-year increase of 9.69% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 24.26% [3]. - The net profit for Q2 2025 was 729 million yuan, down 10.04% year-on-year but up 29.00% quarter-on-quarter [3]. Profitability Metrics - The net profit margin for H1 2025 was 10.01%, a decrease of 1.9 percentage points year-on-year, while the gross profit margin was 19.55%, down 1.8 percentage points year-on-year [4]. - In Q2 2025, the net profit margin was 10.18%, with year-on-year and quarter-on-quarter changes of -2.23 percentage points and +0.37 percentage points, respectively [4]. Expense Ratios - The expense ratio for Q2 2025 was 8.36%, with year-on-year and quarter-on-quarter changes of +0.15 percentage points and -2.15 percentage points, respectively [5]. - The breakdown of expenses showed sales, management, financial, and R&D expense ratios of 0.88%, 2.62%, -0.20%, and 5.06%, respectively [5]. Segment Performance - Revenue from shock absorbers was 2.04 billion yuan, down 4.83% year-on-year, while interior functional components generated 4.366 billion yuan, up 11.72% year-on-year [6]. - The automotive electronics segment saw a significant revenue increase of 52.06% year-on-year, reaching 1.075 billion yuan [6]. Market Dynamics - The company's Q2 performance benefited from improved sales from downstream customers, with notable increases in sales from various clients, including a 46.95% year-on-year increase for Geely [7]. - The company secured a 1.5 billion yuan order in the thermal management business, indicating strong demand in international markets [8]. Future Outlook - The company adjusted its net profit forecasts for 2025-2026 to 3.358 billion yuan and 4.312 billion yuan, respectively, while maintaining a 2027 forecast of 5.652 billion yuan [9]. - The current market valuation corresponds to P/E ratios of 32, 25, and 19 for 2025-2027, respectively, reflecting ongoing confidence in the company's growth potential [9].