H20不卖了，老黄还怎么给英伟达画饼？

Core Viewpoint - Nvidia's CEO Jensen Huang emphasizes the importance of the Chinese market for the company's growth, predicting a 50% increase in China's AI industry next year and expressing a desire to re-enter the market despite regulatory challenges [4][8]. Group 1: Nvidia's Market Strategy - Nvidia is considering introducing its advanced Blackwell processors to China, highlighting the potential for significant revenue from this market, estimated at $50 billion this year [4][8]. - Huang acknowledges the competitive landscape in China, stating that local companies are becoming increasingly capable and that Nvidia must act quickly to regain market share [8][9]. - The company has faced export restrictions from the U.S. government, which complicates its ability to sell high-end chips to China, necessitating licenses for exports [9][10]. Group 2: Financial Performance - Nvidia reported a revenue of $46.743 billion for the second quarter of fiscal year 2026, a 56% year-over-year increase, with a net profit of $26.422 billion, up 59% [17]. - Despite exceeding revenue expectations, Nvidia's data center business has seen two consecutive quarters of revenue below projections, raising concerns about future growth [19]. - The new Blackwell chip series has shown a 17% quarter-over-quarter revenue increase, but the overall market dynamics are shifting, leading to a more cautious outlook [19][22]. Group 3: Competitive Landscape - By 2024, major Chinese internet companies like ByteDance, Tencent, Alibaba, and Baidu are expected to account for 87% of H20 chip purchases, indicating a strong local demand for AI chips [12]. - The self-sufficiency rate of domestic AI chips in China is projected to rise from 10-15% in 2023 to nearly 50% by 2026, reflecting the growing capabilities of local manufacturers [12]. - The introduction of the B40 chip, which is designed to comply with U.S. export regulations, shows Nvidia's attempt to adapt to the changing market while maintaining some competitive advantages [20][22].