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【2025半年报点评/中国重汽】龙头韧性彰显,出海行稳致远

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a stable performance in H1 2025, with revenue and net profit showing slight year-on-year growth, indicating resilience in its operations despite market challenges [3][4][8]. Financial Performance Summary - In H1 2025, the company achieved operating revenue of 50.88 billion, a year-on-year increase of 4.2%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 3.43 billion, also up by 4.0% [3]. - The heavy truck segment demonstrated robust growth, with revenue of 43.81 billion, up 4.2% year-on-year, and sales volume of 137,000 units, reflecting a 9.2% increase [4]. - The average selling price (ASP) for heavy trucks decreased by 4.7% to 324,000, attributed to intensified domestic price competition and changes in export market structure [4]. - The light truck segment saw revenue growth of 6.2% to 6.16 billion, with sales volume increasing by 10.4% to 63,000 units, although the operating profit margin fell to -2.4% [5][6]. Profitability Metrics - The gross profit margin improved to 15.1%, up 0.4 percentage points year-on-year, while the net profit margin remained stable at 6.7% [7]. - The operating profit margin for heavy trucks was maintained at 6.0%, showcasing the company's operational resilience despite export pressures [4]. Earnings Forecast and Investment Rating - The company maintains its earnings forecast for 2025-2027, projecting net profits of 6.77 billion, 8.09 billion, and 8.86 billion respectively, with corresponding EPS of 2.45, 2.93, and 3.21 [8]. - The company is rated as a "Buy" due to its strong market position, low valuation, and high dividend payout ratio [8].