Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes that Kailaiying is positioned for growth through its small molecule CDMO business and emerging sectors, leveraging its technological advantages and expanding service capabilities to become a leading comprehensive CDMO service provider [3][4]. Small Molecule CDMO Business - The small molecule CDMO business is the foundation of Kailaiying's development and its largest revenue segment, benefiting from continuous reaction technology and biocatalysis, which provide a competitive edge in cost and efficiency [3][5]. - The company aims to enhance its global presence and pipeline penetration among multinational pharmaceutical companies by expanding overseas production capacity, particularly leveraging experiences from the UK Sandwich Site [3][5]. Emerging Business Segments - Kailaiying has diversified into several emerging business areas, including chemical macromolecule CDMO, formulation CDMO, biological macromolecule CDMO, clinical CRO, technology output, and synthetic biology, supported by its established R&D and quality management systems [3][5]. - The chemical macromolecule CDMO segment is expected to grow rapidly due to increasing demand for peptide and oligonucleotide drugs, with the company poised to capture market share amid supply shortages [5]. - The formulation CDMO business is anticipated to see significant growth with the introduction of new production capacities for pre-filled syringes and solid formulations by 2025 [5]. - The biological macromolecule CDMO segment, focusing on conjugated drugs, is expected to enhance both efficiency and profitability through an integrated service model [5]. - The clinical CRO business is projected to recover steadily as the innovative drug sector sees increased investment and as the company strengthens its capabilities in mid-to-late stage projects and overseas registrations [5]. Financial Projections - The company forecasts net profits of 39 million, 83 million, and 141 million yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, representing year-on-year growth rates of 186%, 111%, and 69% respectively, with corresponding EPS of 3.24, 3.89, and 4.71 yuan [4]. - The current stock price corresponds to PE ratios of 36, 30, and 25 for the years 2025 to 2027, indicating a favorable valuation outlook based on the company's growth potential and competitive advantages [4].
【华创医药】凯莱英(002821.SZ)深度研究报告:小分子技术筑基,新兴业务渐入收获期