Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes that Kanglong Chemical has established itself as a leading global drug research and development service enterprise, with significant growth potential across its various service segments, including laboratory services, small molecule CDMO, clinical CRO, and large molecule and cell gene therapy services [3][4][5]. Group 1: Laboratory Services - The laboratory services segment is the most competitive and currently the primary source of revenue and profit for the company, with expectations for rapid growth driven by competitive advantages in compound design and synthesis [3]. - The biological science services are anticipated to leverage the existing customer base from laboratory chemistry services, leading to sustained high growth in both customer numbers and performance [3]. Group 2: CMC (Small Molecule CDMO) Services - The CMC services are expected to experience rapid growth due to a burgeoning client base and the successful conversion of commercial orders, with a significant increase in the proportion of process validation and commercial orders expected by the first half of 2025 [4]. - The company has established four FDA-approved API commercial production bases across China, the UK, and the US, enabling it to provide innovative drug raw material production solutions globally [4]. Group 3: Clinical CRO Services - The company has completed the establishment of an integrated global clinical CRO service platform, which is expected to enhance efficiency and profitability as industry conditions improve [4]. - The synergy between clinical CRO, preclinical CRO, and CDMO services is anticipated to strengthen further, contributing to accelerated performance [4]. Group 4: Large Molecule and Cell Gene Therapy Services - The company is rapidly advancing its capabilities in large molecule and cell gene therapy services through external resource integration and personnel recruitment, with projected revenue growth of around 10% over the next three years [5]. - This segment is expected to gradually reduce losses, opening up greater long-term growth opportunities for the company [5]. Group 5: Investment Recommendations - The projected net profits for the company from 2025 to 2027 are estimated at 1.689 billion, 1.959 billion, and 2.257 billion yuan, with adjusted net profits of 1.750 billion, 2.122 billion, and 2.438 billion yuan, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of 8.9%, 21.2%, and 14.9% respectively [5]. - The current stock price corresponds to PE ratios of 36, 31, and 27 for 2025-2027, with a recommendation for a higher valuation level based on the company's growth prospects and competitive advantages in the CXO industry [5].
【华创医药】康龙化成(300759.SZ)深度研究报告:全流程、一体化、国际化、多疗法的全球药物研发领军企业,扬帆起航