TOP TOY能否撼动泡泡玛特的王者地位？

Core Viewpoint - TOP TOY, a subsidiary of Miniso, has submitted an application for a Hong Kong IPO, aiming to capitalize on the growing global trend of collectible toys, following a successful model similar to Pop Mart [1][2]. Group 1: Company Overview - Miniso, founded by Ye Guofu in 2013, has expanded to over 7,000 stores globally, surpassing Uniqlo's 2,500 stores [1]. - TOP TOY aims to leverage Miniso's extensive store network to replicate the success of Pop Mart in the collectible toy market [1]. Group 2: Financial Performance - TOP TOY's valuation reached $1.3 billion after a $59.4 million Series A funding round, with Temasek investing $40 million [2]. - In comparison, Pop Mart reported a revenue of 13.8 billion yuan (approximately $1.9 billion) in the first half of the year, a twofold increase, while TOP TOY's revenue grew 60% to 1.36 billion yuan [4][5]. Group 3: Market Position and Strategy - TOP TOY's gross margin improved from 19.9% to 32.4%, but it still lags behind Pop Mart's gross margin of nearly 70% [5][6]. - The company is shifting towards developing its own intellectual property (IP), with self-owned IP products accounting for about 50% of revenue in the first half of the year [6]. - Despite the growth in self-owned IP, licensed IP toys remain a significant revenue source, contributing 8.89 billion yuan in 2024, which is 47% of total revenue [6]. Group 4: Competitive Landscape - Other companies like Kayou and 52TOYS are also pursuing IPOs, indicating a competitive environment in the collectible toy market [7]. - The Chinese collectible toy market is projected to grow from 20.7 billion yuan in 2019 to 58.7 billion yuan in 2024, with TOP TOY holding a 2.2% market share, ranking third behind Pop Mart and LEGO [7].