Nvidia(US:NVDA) Counterpoint Research·2025-10-23 09:03Core Insights - NVIDIA's robot strategy is a "moonshot" approach focusing on solving the most complex challenge of humanoid robot development, which will subsequently advance AI technology across all robotic and autonomous systems [4][6] - The company aims to become a platform participant, providing essential infrastructure for partners to accelerate the development of the robotic ecosystem while avoiding vendor lock-in [9][10] Humanoid Robot Market - The overall revenue for humanoid robots is projected to exceed $16 billion by 2030, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 51% from 2024 to 2030 [7] - China is expected to remain the largest single market for humanoid robots, while the Americas will show significant potential in high-specification products, addressing labor shortages in automotive and semiconductor manufacturing [7] - 2025 is anticipated to be the commercialization year for humanoid robots, with diverse products entering mass production and small-scale deployment in factories and enterprises [7] NVIDIA's Technological Framework - NVIDIA's technology strategy is built around three pillars: training (DGX), simulation (Omniverse), and deployment (Jetson), reflecting the modern AI closed-loop development cycle [12] - The company employs a mixed strategy of real-world and simulated data to overcome data scarcity challenges, initially accepting lower fidelity in simulations to achieve rapid learning [12] Competitive Advantage - NVIDIA's enduring competitive advantage lies in its software and parallel computing platform, CUDA, which enhances performance across the ecosystem [14] - The company aims to deepen its expertise in vertical fields to optimize its core infrastructure, benefiting all partners without competing against them [14]