TSMC(US:TSM) 是说芯语·2025-10-28 05:43Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the impact of China's rare earth export control policies on TSMC, highlighting the company's current confidence in its suppliers' inventory levels while acknowledging potential long-term risks if supply constraints persist [1][2][6]. Group 1: TSMC's Current Situation - TSMC's executives express confidence that their suppliers currently have sufficient rare earth inventory to sustain operations for 1-2 years despite potential supply chain disruptions [2][4]. - The company is exploring alternative sources for rare earth materials, such as Australia, but acknowledges that transitioning to these suppliers will take time due to the underdeveloped state of Australia's rare earth mining industry [6][10]. Group 2: Impact of Export Controls - China's recent announcement of export controls on certain rare earth materials could significantly affect TSMC's supply chain, particularly if its main suppliers like ASML and TEL face restrictions [4][9]. - The export controls cover a range of rare earth elements and related items, with stringent measures similar to those imposed by the U.S. on technology exports [9][10]. Group 3: China's Dominance in Rare Earths - China dominates the global rare earth market, controlling approximately 40% of rare earth mineral reserves, nearly 70% of global extraction, and about 90% of processing capacity [8][10]. - The article emphasizes that many modern high-tech devices rely on Chinese rare earths, making it challenging for countries like the U.S. and its allies to establish independent supply chains [10][11].