Desay SV(SZ:002920) 东吴汽车黄细里团队·2025-10-28 14:26Core Viewpoint - The company reported its Q3 2025 results, showing a mixed performance with revenue growth but a decline in net profit, indicating challenges in the current market environment [3][4]. Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, the company achieved revenue of 7.69 billion, with a quarter-on-quarter increase of 6% but a year-on-year decrease of 2%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 570 million, reflecting a quarter-on-quarter decline of 0.57% and a year-on-year decline of 11.74% [3]. - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company reported total revenue of 22.337 billion, a year-on-year increase of 17.72%, and a net profit of 1.788 billion, up 27.08% year-on-year, indicating strong cumulative growth [3]. Customer Impact - The sales volume from major client Li Auto decreased significantly, with a quarter-on-quarter drop of 40% and a year-on-year drop of 16%, which pressured the company's performance. However, new clients like Xiaomi and Great Wall Motors, along with increased penetration of smart driving technologies, helped maintain overall revenue stability [4]. Profitability and Cost Structure - The gross margin in Q3 2025 was 18.51%, down 1.95 percentage points quarter-on-quarter and 1.65 percentage points year-on-year, primarily due to intense price competition among downstream automakers. The overseas gross margin was significantly higher than domestic, with domestic gross margin at 19.7% and overseas at 29.0% [5]. - The company’s operating expense ratio increased to 12.04%, up 0.58 percentage points year-on-year, mainly due to increased R&D investments. Sales expenses for January to September totaled 254 million, a year-on-year increase of 75.89% [6]. Capacity Expansion - The company is actively expanding its production capacity, with construction projects increasing from 445 million at the beginning of the year to 820 million by the end of September, a year-on-year increase of 84.08%. This expansion is expected to support production for smart driving controllers and cockpit products [7]. Global Strategy - The company is steadily advancing its globalization strategy, with production capacity contributions starting in Indonesia in May 2025, and the Monterrey plant in Mexico beginning production in June 2025. A smart factory in Spain is expected to be completed by the end of 2025, providing localized production for the European market [8]. Earnings Forecast - The company is viewed as a leading player in the smart driving components sector, with revised revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 set at 33.4 billion, 42 billion, and 50.4 billion respectively, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of 21%, 26%, and 20%. The net profit forecasts remain at 2.59 billion, 3.33 billion, and 4.01 billion for the same period, with corresponding P/E ratios of 30, 23, and 19 [9].