Lilly(US:LLY) 美股IPO·2025-10-30 13:18Core Viewpoint - Eli Lilly's third-quarter performance exceeded market expectations, driven by strong sales of weight loss drugs Mounjaro and Zepbound, leading to an upward revision of revenue guidance for fiscal year 2025 [3][4]. Financial Performance - The company reported earnings per share of $7.02, surpassing analyst expectations of $5.69, and revenue of $17.6 billion, exceeding the market forecast of $16.01 billion [3][5]. - U.S. sales surged by 45% to $11.3 billion, primarily due to a 60% increase in product prescriptions, particularly for Mounjaro and Zepbound [3][7]. - Net profit for the third quarter reached $5.58 billion, or $6.21 per share, compared to $970.3 million, or $1.07 per share, in the same period last year [7]. Drug Sales Performance - Mounjaro generated $6.52 billion in revenue, a 109% year-over-year increase, significantly exceeding the analyst forecast of $5.51 billion [5]. - Zepbound recorded $3.57 billion in revenue, a 184% increase year-over-year, slightly above Wall Street's expectation of $3.5 billion [5][7]. - Combined sales of both drugs exceeded expectations by approximately $1.3 billion, with most of the outperformance attributed to Mounjaro [7]. Market Position and Competition - Eli Lilly maintains a leading position in the rapidly growing GLP-1 drug market, capturing about 58% market share, which includes competition from Novo Nordisk's Ozempic and Wegovy [7][9]. - The competitive landscape is intensifying, with Novo Nordisk's recent acquisition bid for Metsera highlighting the urgency to catch up with Eli Lilly [11]. - To enhance drug accessibility, Eli Lilly announced a partnership with Walmart to provide discounted Zepbound for cash-paying patients [10]. Guidance Revision - The company raised its fiscal year 2025 revenue guidance to $63 billion to $63.5 billion, up from the previous estimate of $60 billion to $62 billion [3][8]. - Adjusted earnings per share guidance was also increased from $21.75-$23 to $23-$23.70 [3].