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上声电子 | 2025Q3:盈利承压 全场景声场方案落地推进【民生汽车 崔琰团队】

Event Overview - The company released its Q3 2025 report, showing revenue of 2.135 billion yuan for the first three quarters, a year-on-year increase of 7.06%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 135 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 28.83%. The net profit excluding non-recurring items was 126 million yuan, down 14.33% year-on-year [2]. Revenue and Profit Analysis - Revenue for Q3 2025 was 768 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 1.67% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 5.19%. The main customer, Li Auto, saw a 39.01% year-on-year decrease in sales, impacting revenue growth [3]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders for Q3 2025 was 50 million yuan, down 35.79% year-on-year and 12.82% quarter-on-quarter. The net profit excluding non-recurring items was 48 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 19.17% and a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 13.44%. The gross margin for Q3 2025 was 20.76%, down 8.03 percentage points year-on-year, while the net profit margin was 6.52%, down 3.81 percentage points year-on-year [3]. - The decline in profitability is attributed to several factors: the Hefei factory is still in its early operational phase, leading to costs that cannot be covered by revenue; increased competition in the automotive market has resulted in price reductions for some products, causing a drop in gross margins; and a reduction in government subsidies during the period [3]. Cost Structure - The expense ratios for sales, management, R&D, and financial costs in Q3 2025 were 0.78%, 5.92%, 6.15%, and 0.96%, respectively. Year-on-year changes were -0.14, -1.02, -0.23, and -0.96 percentage points, while quarter-on-quarter changes were -0.42, -0.77, +0.75, and +4.01 percentage points. The increase in financial cost ratio quarter-on-quarter was mainly due to significant foreign exchange gains from the rise in the euro exchange rate in Q2 2025 [3]. Technological Advancements - The company is deepening its layout in the pure digital audio technology chain, constructing a three-dimensional technology system that includes self-developed chips, intelligent algorithms, and automotive-grade verification. The commercialization of the panoramic sound field solution is being advanced, with the launch of an AI panoramic sound system in H1 2025, featuring innovative patented products and a powerful amplifier, providing a cinema-level sound experience [4]. Production Capacity Enhancement - To address the risks of trade de-globalization and to keep pace with the acceleration of Chinese automotive manufacturers' overseas expansion, the company is advancing the automation of production lines in Czech Republic and Mexico, enhancing delivery capabilities for overseas projects. The new factory in Hefei is set to begin production by the end of 2024, with capacity gradually ramping up. The speaker production line in Suzhou is also undergoing technological upgrades to enhance smart manufacturing capabilities [5]. Future Projections - The company is expected to benefit from the trends of electric and intelligent vehicles and changes in procurement systems. Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 3.256 billion yuan, 3.844 billion yuan, and 4.373 billion yuan, with net profits of 206 million yuan, 339 million yuan, and 434 million yuan, respectively. The earnings per share (EPS) are projected to be 1.27 yuan, 2.08 yuan, and 2.67 yuan, with corresponding price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 22, 13, and 10 [6][7].