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【2025年三季报点评/宇通客车】出口带动量利齐升,业绩超预期

Core Viewpoint - The company reported strong financial performance in Q3 2025, with significant year-on-year growth in revenue and net profit, indicating robust operational efficiency and market demand [3][4][5]. Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, the company achieved operating revenue of 10.24 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 32.3% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 5.41% [3]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.36 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 78.98% and a quarter-on-quarter growth of 14.94% [3]. - The non-recurring net profit was 1.07 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 66.77% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 17.40% [3]. Sales and Export Growth - Total sales volume in Q3 2025 reached 12,000 units, up 13.38% year-on-year, with an average selling price (ASP) of 840,000 yuan, showing a quarter-on-quarter increase of 17% [4]. - The export ratio was 39%, marking a year-on-year increase of 14.6 percentage points and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 6.4 percentage points [4]. - New energy vehicle exports accounted for 27% of total exports, with a year-on-year increase of 14.5% [4]. Profitability and Cost Management - The gross margin for Q3 2025 was 24.0%, up 3.3 percentage points year-on-year, driven by improved sales structure [5]. - The expense ratio was 9.4%, down 1.6 percentage points year-on-year, benefiting from economies of scale [5]. - Non-recurring gains totaled 676 million yuan in the first three quarters, accounting for 20.5% of net profit, primarily from changes in fair value of financial assets and asset disposal gains [6]. International Expansion - The company has been actively delivering vehicles overseas, with significant shipments to various countries, including 372 electric buses to Chile and 723 city buses to Morocco, contributing to export growth [7]. Future Outlook - The revenue forecast for 2025 has been raised to 43.6 billion yuan, with expected growth rates of 17% and 14% for 2026 and 2027, respectively [8]. - The net profit forecast for 2025-2027 has also been adjusted upwards, indicating continued strong performance [8].