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特斯拉2026:汽车的第二次革命正在逼近

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes that Tesla's Q3 earnings call is not just a financial report but a declaration of a second automotive revolution led by Elon Musk, particularly focusing on the advancements in Full Self-Driving (FSD) technology [2]. Group 1: Market Perception and Misunderstanding - Many investors react to headlines without thorough analysis, leading to stock price declines based on superficial interpretations of earnings reports [5]. - The focus on "profits below expectations" overshadowed significant advancements in FSD, which Musk claims has reached a safety level far exceeding that of human drivers [5][9]. Group 2: Technological Advancements - Musk's confidence in FSD's safety surpassing human levels indicates a pivotal moment in Tesla's technological journey, moving from past failures to a promising future [7]. - Tesla's AI strategy has shifted to "end-to-end" learning and "pure vision" systems, which are crucial for achieving true autonomous driving [7]. Group 3: Future of Autonomous Driving - The ultimate goal of autonomous driving is not merely to eliminate accidents but to achieve a safety rate significantly lower than that of human drivers, which Musk asserts FSD has already accomplished [9]. - By Q2 2026, Tesla plans to mass-produce vehicles without steering wheels or pedals, marking a transformative shift in the automotive industry [12]. Group 4: Business Model Transformation - As FSD becomes reliable, Tesla's vehicles will evolve into "mobile intelligent nodes," fundamentally changing the company's business model from car manufacturing to creating a network of autonomous vehicles [11]. - The concept of Robotaxi is transitioning from a distant vision to an imminent reality, allowing vehicles to generate income while parked [14]. Group 5: Market Dynamics and Investment Strategy - The market may initially fail to grasp the significance of these advancements, leading to continued volatility based on short-term profit reports [16]. - Investors who engage deeply with the material and understand the underlying logic can position themselves advantageously ahead of market movements [16][17]. Group 6: The 2026 Milestone - The year 2026 is projected to be a landmark year for Tesla, representing a rebirth of the automotive industry characterized by intelligence rather than traditional metrics like horsepower or fuel efficiency [23].