LI AUTO(US:LI) 理想TOP2·2025-11-02 09:08Core Viewpoints - The article presents eight key viewpoints regarding the performance and evaluation of autonomous driving technologies, particularly focusing on the experiences with Horizon's HSD and Li Auto's VLA systems [2]. Group 1: Performance Evaluation - TOP2 found the Horizon HSD software experience during a 1.5-hour test drive in Hangzhou to be significantly better than the current production version of Li Auto's L7 VLA [2]. - There is a possibility that the production version of Horizon's software may not perform as well as the engineering version experienced during the test [2]. - The evaluation of autonomous driving systems is limited by the number of test experiences, as a few tests cannot generalize performance across different regions [3]. Group 2: Technical Architecture - Horizon employs a VA-style end-to-end system, while Li Auto uses a VLA-style end-to-end system, with the naming being a minor distinction [3][9]. - The current technological landscape suggests that VA-style systems may have advantages in user experience due to existing computational and bandwidth limitations [6]. - Li Auto's decision to adopt a VLA-style system is seen as a courageous move, as it requires significant resources and presents various challenges [14]. Group 3: Market Dynamics - The future landscape of autonomous driving operators is uncertain, with a prevailing belief that only a few companies will survive, particularly those capable of self-developing their technologies [4]. - Companies lacking self-research capabilities in autonomous driving may struggle to adapt to the evolving smart vehicle industry [4]. - The article emphasizes that autonomous driving is not merely a selling point but a differentiating capability that can lead to high market concentration due to low marginal costs [4]. Group 4: User Experience Insights - Feedback from Horizon personnel indicated that the performance of their systems in extreme weather and complex scenarios is generally average, highlighting the need for comprehensive testing [5][6]. - The experiences reported during the test drives varied significantly based on the vehicle models and their respective chip capabilities, indicating that performance can be inconsistent [7]. - The article suggests that the perception of Horizon's HSD performance may be overly positive due to selective testing locations and conditions [8].