要想深入中性分析理想，首先得尊重中性数据。 2024年1-11月成交价30万以上理想卖了约28.1万辆全国第四；问界约13.5万辆全国第六；蔚来约12.2万辆全国第七，特斯拉 约0.2万辆全国第二十。 2025年1-11月 成交价30万以上理想卖了约16.4万辆全国第五；问界约24.5万辆全国第三；蔚来约5.2万辆全国第十一；特斯 拉约2.9万辆全国第十六；小米约1.8万辆全国第二十一。 2022/2023/2024/2025年1-11月，理想ONE/L789/i8MEGA交付之和分别为11.2/32.6/ 27.7 / 19.5 万辆。与桑之末数据大致是匹 配的，有一点差异。 2025年1-11月 22个品牌共有199.2万辆车实际成交价在30万以上，2024年1-11月为219.6万辆，下降20.41万辆，同比下降 9.29%。 从上升下降绝对值来看，共有8家品牌30万以上成交价销量变化绝对值大于4，分别为理想/奥迪/问界/蔚来/丰田/奔驰/宝马/ 领克，具体数值分别为 -11.7/-11.6/+11.0/-7.0/-6.9/-5.4/-4.3/+4.0。 即绝对值变化最大的8家里，只有问界与领克是正增长 ...

这幅场景，已成为2025年中国新能源汽车产业最生动的注脚。 这一年，行业零售渗透率在3月历史性突破50%后，于年底成功突破60%大关，标志着电动化从"替代选项"彻底转变为"市场 主流"。比亚迪、吉利等自主品牌凭借体系化优势巩固领先地位，而新势力阵营则在激烈的"中场淘汰赛"中加速分化，行业 格局初定。 过去数年的电动化"规模竞赛"已告一段落，2025年的全方位竞争，从智能化技术的落地速度，到全球化运营的扎根深度， 再到供应链与盈利模式的健康度，实则为下一阶段铺设了基石。 站在2025年坚实的基石上，2026年的产业画卷正缓缓展开，核心议题将从"如何扩大份额"深化为"如何重塑价值"。 01 渗透率跨越分水岭 2025年的中国车市，新能源车是无可争议的增长引擎。前11个月，新能源汽车产销同比增幅均超过30%，销量占汽车总销 量的比例已达47.5%，全年渗透率突破50%几成定局。 荷兰阿姆斯特丹的街头，一辆极氪汽车驶过历史建筑，街角的蔚来空间将中国汽车生活方式悄然植入欧洲都市。 更值得关注的是月度零售渗透率的迅猛攀升。12月，国内新能源汽车零售量预计达138万辆，渗透率或将首次突破60%大 关。 从市场结构看，自主品 ...

"'十五五'期间，顺义区将守好汽车产业这一基本盘。"周靖慧表示，全力做好理想、奔驰、现代、北汽 越野车等重点企业服务保障，加快推动生态港落地更多符合区域定位项目。持续推动三代半、航空航 天、生物医药、智能装备等重点产业量质提升，加快构建"多点支撑"的产业发展格局。 此外，聚焦新能源网联汽车、生物医药、智能装备、集成电路等热门赛道，在利用市区两级基金和各项 促进政策的基础上，顺义区将聚焦临空区、顺义园、生态港以及产业基础好的镇，开展产业链招商、资 本招商、会展招商等工作，为全区产业高质量发展持续注入增量动能。 新京报讯(记者耿子叶)1月13日，记者从顺义区两会上获悉，顺义区推动镇级产业园转型升级，围绕五 大高端制造业领域，着力打造一批特色产业园区。"十五五"期间，顺义区将在潮白河河东、河西地区分 别选取试点推进，全面提升基础设施水平和生活配套能力，建设标准化厂房和定制化厂房，提升园区整 体风貌。 作为北京高端制造业大区，顺义构建"5+4"产业体系，重点产业发展取得新成效。在新能源智能汽车领 域，理想i系列车型平稳上市，北京现代出口同比增长45%，奔驰引入E级纯电车型，北汽越野车产值同 比增长110%；在第三代半 ...

编前：根据中国汽车流通协会乘联分会（以下简称"乘联分会"）的初步统计，2025年全国乘用车市场累计零售2377.9万辆，同比增长4%。在"以旧换 新"等多项政策的接续支持下，2025年中国车市依然保持正向增长态势。在平稳增长之下，比亚迪、吉利汽车、长安汽车、零跑汽车等多家车企实现突破 性进展，多家合资车企在华发展也呈现回暖迹象。 新能源稳步增长 大集团集体冲高 奇瑞集团以280.64万辆的销量表现创历史新高，新能源车板块也实现较高增长。2025年，奇瑞集团依托旗下风云、星途、iCAR、智界等多个子品 牌，构建起覆盖10万~40万元主流价格区间新能源产品矩阵，上市的全新产品中新能源车型占比超90%，全年累计销售90.38万辆，同比增长54.9%。 东风汽车2025年正式达成新能源车年销百万辆里程碑，全年销售新能源汽车104万辆，同比增长21%。其中，岚图汽车销量15.02万辆，同比增长 87%；2025年新成立的奕派科技则在成立首年实现正增长，全年销售整车27.58万辆。 此前在新能源领域稍逊一筹的长城汽车与北汽新能源也在2025年打了一场漂亮的翻身仗。虽未能完成5年前立下的豪言壮志，但2025年长城加速新能 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the automotive industry, indicating a favorable investment rating for the sector [2]. Core Insights - The report highlights the impact of rising prices for memory, copper, aluminum, and key components, which are expected to lead to an increase in consumer vehicle prices. It suggests focusing on supply chain companies with good supply-demand dynamics and price transmission capabilities, as well as mid-to-high-end vehicle manufacturers with model cycles [2]. - The report notes that the average daily retail sales of passenger vehicles in China reached 123,000 units in the last week of December, a year-on-year increase of 17% [2]. - The report emphasizes the importance of the recently implemented green consumption policies, which aim to support the purchase of new energy vehicles and enhance the automotive industry's supply chain [11][12]. Market Updates - The automotive industry recorded a total transaction value of 638.35 billion yuan, with a week-on-week increase of 11.27%. The automotive industry index rose by 2.53% during the week [2][13]. - The report indicates that the automotive industry index's growth was lower than that of the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 index, which increased by 2.79% [13]. - The report lists significant stock movements, with 201 stocks rising and 68 falling, highlighting the top gainers and losers in the automotive sector [19]. Key Events - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology released the 403rd batch of new vehicle approvals, featuring several notable models from various manufacturers [3][4]. - The report discusses the rising cost pressures in the automotive industry due to increasing memory prices, which are becoming a significant factor affecting profitability [6][8]. - The report mentions a strategic cooperation agreement between CATL and NIO, focusing on battery technology and market collaboration [36]. Financial Metrics - The automotive sector's price-to-earnings ratio stands at 30.20, ranking 18th among all primary industries, indicating a moderate valuation compared to the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 index's 14.41 [16][18].

当地时间1月12日，美股市场颇为"热闹"。三大指数集体收涨，其中道指、标普500指数再创新高。截至 收盘，道指涨0.17%，报49590.20点；纳指涨0.26%，报23733.90点；标普500指数涨0.16%，报6977.27 点。 热门中概股多数收涨，纳斯达克中国金龙指数涨4.26%。阿里巴巴涨超10%，创2025年8月29日以来最大 单日涨幅。 国际局势方面，特朗普在其社交媒体"真实社交"发文表示，如果美国最高法院出于任何原因做出对美国 不利的关税裁决，美国将要面临实际金额数千亿美元的赔偿。 金银期现价格开盘跳水 北京时间1月13日早盘，金银价格开盘跳水。伦敦现货黄金盘中失守4580美元/盎司；伦敦现货白银连续 快速跌破85美元/盎司、84美元/盎司重要关口。 | 伦敦金现 | < W | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | SPTAUUSDOZ.IDC | | | | | | | | 昨结 4597.200 4585.063 | | | 总量 | | | 0 | | 4597.200 -0.26% 开盘 | | | 现手 | ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article emphasizes that the demand for automobiles is driven by the continuation of the trade-in policy, leading to an unexpected penetration of new energy vehicles (NEVs) and improved profitability through high-end products and overseas expansion [3][4][5][6][7][8] Group 2 - In 2025, the cumulative wholesale sales of passenger cars reached 24.119 million units, a year-on-year increase of 12.6%, with NEVs growing by 30.7% [3][8] - The penetration rate of NEVs in wholesale sales was 50.4%, up by 7.0 percentage points year-on-year, while the penetration rate for insurance reached 53.3%, an increase of 6.6 percentage points [3][46] - The share of domestic passenger cars in wholesale sales reached 69.3%, a year-on-year increase of 4.9 percentage points, with brands like Geely, Xiaomi, and Leap Motor showing significant growth [3][50] Group 3 - Looking ahead to 2026, the trade-in policy is expected to continue, supporting demand, with projected insurance sales of 22.32 million units, a decrease of 5.0% year-on-year, and wholesale sales of 30.10 million units, an increase of 1.0% [4][5] - The NEV insurance sales are expected to reach 13.8 million units, a year-on-year increase of 6.2%, while wholesale sales are projected to be 17.3 million units, up by 13.4% [4][15] Group 4 - The competitive landscape is shifting, with joint ventures declining and domestic brands accelerating their rise in the mid-to-high-end market [5][10] - In the 5-15 million price range, price-sensitive consumers are expected to drive competition, while brands like Geely, BYD, and Leap Motor are anticipated to gain higher sales growth due to their advantages in intelligence and cost-effectiveness [5][10] Group 5 - The article highlights the acceleration of intelligent driving technology, with major players like Huawei and BYD pushing for the democratization of advanced driving features [6][10] - The L3 commercial deployment is expected to gain momentum in 2026-2027, with various automakers launching new high-level driving systems and models [6][10] Group 6 - The export of passenger cars is projected to reach 6.64 million units in 2026, a year-on-year increase of 15.5%, driven by the technological advantages of domestic NEVs and the expansion of overseas manufacturing [7][11] - Companies like BYD and Geely are expected to increase their export efforts, with BYD establishing overseas factories and Geely accelerating NEV exports [7][11]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the automotive industry is "Positive" and maintained [9] Core Insights - The wholesale sales of passenger vehicles in Q4 2025 are expected to be approximately 8.76 million units, a year-on-year decrease of 1% but a quarter-on-quarter increase of 14%. The profitability in Q4 may show differentiation compared to the same period last year, with expectations for a quarter-on-quarter improvement [2][5] - The revenue from automotive parts is anticipated to grow steadily quarter-on-quarter, but profitability may face pressure due to factors such as raw material costs and exchange rates [2][5] - The wholesale sales of heavy trucks are projected to be 314,000 units in Q4 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 43.6% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 11.5% [2][5] - The overall sales of buses are expected to see a significant quarter-on-quarter increase during the peak season, with sales of large and medium buses reaching 44,000 units, a year-on-year increase of 8.8% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 42.2% [2][5] - The total sales of motorcycles are estimated to be around 4.73 million units in Q4 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 11.0% but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 6.2% [2][6] Summary by Sections Passenger Vehicles - Q4 2025 wholesale sales are expected to be about 8.76 million units, down 1% year-on-year but up 14% quarter-on-quarter. New energy vehicle sales are projected at 4.84 million units, up 13% year-on-year and 21% quarter-on-quarter [5] Automotive Parts - Revenue is expected to grow steadily quarter-on-quarter, but profitability may be pressured by raw material and exchange rate factors [5] Heavy Trucks - Q4 2025 wholesale sales are projected at 314,000 units, with a year-on-year increase of 43.6% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 11.5% [5] Buses - Large and medium bus sales are expected to reach 44,000 units in Q4 2025, with a year-on-year increase of 8.8% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 42.2% [5] Motorcycles - Total motorcycle sales are estimated at 4.73 million units in Q4 2025, reflecting an 11.0% year-on-year increase but a 6.2% quarter-on-quarter decrease [6]

新能源车销量渗透率突破50%依然只是表象，中国新能源汽车行业已在2025年完成了关键一跃。 2025年，中国汽车市场的游戏规则再次重写。多年以后回忆起来，这或许就是汽车市场的"诺基亚时刻"：新能源车销量渗透率突破50%依然只是表象，更 深层次的变化在于，智能电车的一次试驾就能让燃油车主"再也回不到从前"。 这个市场每年都是"洗牌期"，但洗牌的那双手已经变了。以50%渗透率为分水岭，以"价格战"为表现形式的野蛮生长成为过去式，取而代之的是"价值 战"，行业正式从"政策驱动"转向"产品驱动"，在技术突破、全球布局、盈利能力的攻坚中完成了竞争逻辑的重构。 从早期的"扶上马、送一程"，到如今的"划红线、指方向"，政策引导新能源市场从"野蛮生长"转向"高质量发展"，玩家们默契地停止内卷，从"以价换 量"升级为"价值竞争"。随着外资让出合资品牌主导权，新势力和传统品牌之间的竞争格局悄然重塑，出海的规模持续增长，从新的版图上寻找新的增 量。 要让全球车主都"再也回不到从前"。 油退电进，全球榜首 据《日经新闻》2025年12月30日发布的数据，中国汽车制造商全年全球销量将达到2700万辆，首次登顶全球新车销量榜首。 202 ...

新浪财经ESG评级中心提供包括资讯、报告、培训、咨询等在内的14项ESG服务，助力上市公司传播ESG理念，提升ESG可持续发展表现。点 击查看【 ESG评级中心服务手册】 在全球可持续发展浪潮席卷而来的当下，ESG（环境、社会、公司治理）已成为衡量企业高质量发展的核心标尺，更是连接企业价值与社会价值的关键纽 带。随着国内ESG生态体系的加速完善，政策监管持续收紧、资本市场对ESG表现的关注度不断飙升，企业的可持续发展能力愈发成为其核心竞争力的重 要组成部分。 在此行业背景下，新浪财经重磅发布"2025中国企业ESG百强"榜单。该榜单依托新浪财经专业的ESG评级体系，以5000余家A股上市公司及在港上市内地 企业为评价对象，创新性搭建18套行业ESG评价模型，纳入150余项ESG指标，通过量化模型综合演算，对企业ESG表现进行全面、客观的综合评价，最 终筛选出中国ESG实践的标杆企业。榜单不仅为行业树立了发展典范，更为投资者提供了极具参考价值的决策依据。 此次榜单的发布，不仅是对上榜企业可持续发展实践的权威肯定，更向全行业传递了ESG核心价值理念。面对全球性挑战与高质量发展的时代要求，ESG 已不再是企业的"加 ...