XUSHENG(SH:603305) 汽车琰究·2025-11-02 08:45Event Overview - The company released its Q3 2025 report, showing revenue of 3.226 billion yuan for the first three quarters, a year-on-year decrease of 1.48%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 300 million yuan, down 7.16% year-on-year. In Q3 2025, revenue was 1.130 billion yuan, up 0.41% year-on-year and 7.64% quarter-on-quarter. The net profit attributable to shareholders for Q3 was 99 million yuan, a significant increase of 70.43% year-on-year but down 5.50% quarter-on-quarter. The non-recurring net profit was 91 million yuan, up 96.36% year-on-year and down 5.22% quarter-on-quarter [2]. Analysis and Judgment - Q3 2025 performance faced slight pressure while awaiting capacity ramp-up. Revenue for Q3 was driven by major customer Tesla, which delivered 497,100 vehicles globally, an increase of 7.39% year-on-year and 29.41% quarter-on-quarter. The gross margin for Q3 was 21.45%, up 3.23 percentage points year-on-year but down 1.30 percentage points quarter-on-quarter due to customer capacity ramp-up. The net profit margin was 8.78%, up 3.81 percentage points year-on-year and down 1.20 percentage points quarter-on-quarter. The financial expenses increased significantly quarter-on-quarter due to convertible bond interest [2][3]. Overseas Expansion - The company's Mexico factory officially commenced operations in June 2025, completing the core team setup and securing important customer orders through OTS sample deliveries. The factory aims to enhance capacity utilization through automation and achieve localized supply of lightweight products. Additionally, a factory in Thailand began construction in July 2025, focusing on serving the rapidly growing Southeast Asian market for new energy vehicles and high-end manufacturing [3][4]. New Business Development - The company is developing new businesses in energy storage and robotics, having established partnerships with several global energy storage system integrators. In the first half of 2025, revenue from energy storage products reached approximately 300 million yuan, showing significant growth. The company is also entering the humanoid robotics sector, focusing on the development of joint shells and torso structural components, with several domestic and international projects secured. Furthermore, the company has successfully developed semi-solid injection molded motor housings using magnesium alloy technology and is collaborating with a foreign client on a magnesium alloy electric drive housing project [5]. Investment Recommendations - The company is positioned as a strong beneficiary in the lightweight new energy vehicle sector, leveraging its advanced technology, research and development capabilities, and customer expansion efforts to rapidly capture market share. Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 4.62 billion yuan, 5.40 billion yuan, and 6.20 billion yuan, respectively, with net profits of 420 million yuan, 550 million yuan, and 660 million yuan. Corresponding EPS estimates are 0.41 yuan, 0.54 yuan, and 0.64 yuan, with PE ratios of 36, 27, and 23 times, respectively, maintaining a "recommended" rating [5][6].