FOTON(SH:600166) 东吴汽车黄细里团队·2025-11-02 13:43Core Viewpoint - The company reported its Q3 2025 results, showing strong revenue growth but a decline in net profit margins, indicating a mixed performance amidst industry recovery [3][4][5]. Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, the company achieved revenue of 15.1 billion yuan, with year-on-year growth of 27.9% but a quarter-on-quarter decline of 3.2%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 336 million yuan, reflecting a significant year-on-year increase of 1764.2% but a slight quarter-on-quarter decrease of 1.6% [3]. - The company's gross margin for Q3 2025 was 9.9%, down by 2.4 percentage points year-on-year, while the expense ratio improved to 9.4%, a decrease of 1.7 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [5]. Sales Performance - The company saw a notable increase in sales of medium and heavy trucks, with Q3 2025 sales reaching 39,000 units, up 92.3% year-on-year and 6.8% quarter-on-quarter. Light truck sales were 99,000 units, showing a quarter-on-quarter decline of 1.5% [4]. - The company’s heavy truck export performance was particularly strong, with export sales of 6,800 units, marking a year-on-year increase of 168.6% [4]. Investment and Future Outlook - The commercial vehicle industry is recovering, and the company is strategically positioning itself in the light truck segment through a comprehensive approach involving product, technology, and marketing [9]. - The company has eliminated the impact of long-term equity investments in Foday, allowing for a more streamlined focus on growth, particularly in heavy truck exports, which are expected to contribute positively to profits in the medium to long term [9]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The profit forecast for 2025 has been adjusted down to 1.474 billion yuan from the previous estimate of 1.666 billion yuan, while the net profit estimates for 2026 and 2027 remain at 2.029 billion yuan and 2.136 billion yuan, respectively [10]. - The company maintains a "buy" rating due to its low valuation and the potential for profit growth from heavy truck exports [10].