【2025年三季报点评/伯特利】积极推进机器人业务落地,业绩超预期

Core Viewpoint - The company reported better-than-expected performance in Q3 2025, with significant revenue and profit growth driven by core customers and product sales [3][4][5]. Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 3.19 billion yuan, representing a quarter-on-quarter increase of 22% and a year-on-year increase of 26% [3]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company was 370 million yuan, with a quarter-on-quarter increase of 15% and a year-on-year increase of 47% [3]. - The non-recurring net profit was 350 million yuan, showing a quarter-on-quarter increase of 22% and a year-on-year increase of 44% [3]. Customer and Product Insights - Core customers, Chery and Geely, saw production increases of 28% and 14% respectively, contributing over 50% to the company's revenue [4]. - The sales volume of intelligent electronic control products reached 4.73 million units in the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 42% [4]. - The sales volume of disc brakes was 2.89 million units, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 27% [4]. Cost Management and Profitability - The gross margin in Q3 2025 was 20.6%, with a quarter-on-quarter recovery of 1.4 percentage points, attributed to increased scale and product volume [5]. - The operating expense ratio was 8.4%, showing a reduction compared to previous quarters [5]. Capacity Expansion and New Projects - The company is advancing its capacity layout with the addition of multiple new production lines and projects, totaling 413 new projects in the first three quarters of 2025, a 37.21% increase year-on-year [6]. - The expected annualized revenue from new projects is estimated at 7.103 billion yuan [6]. Profit Forecast and Investment Rating - The company maintains revenue forecasts of 12.92 billion yuan, 15.5 billion yuan, and 18.38 billion yuan for 2025-2027, with year-on-year growth rates of 30%, 20%, and 19% respectively [7]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company is projected to be 1.44 billion yuan, 1.74 billion yuan, and 2.08 billion yuan for the same period, with corresponding growth rates of 19%, 21%, and 20% [7].