SINYUAN ZM(SZ:301398) 东吴汽车黄细里团队·2025-11-08 14:46Investment Highlights - The company has received a project confirmation from a domestic electric vehicle manufacturer to develop and supply magnesium alloy powertrain casing components, with mass production expected to start in Q3 2026. The total sales amount is projected to be approximately 2.021 billion RMB over the next four years (2026-2029), averaging an annual revenue of 500 million RMB [3]. - In Q3 2025, the company's revenue was 109 million RMB, showing a year-on-year increase of 3.93% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 14.13%. However, the net profit attributable to the parent company was 14 million RMB, down 28.18% year-on-year and 4.65% quarter-on-quarter, primarily due to increased costs associated with new product production and delays in mass production timelines [4]. - The company plans to issue convertible bonds to raise no more than 450 million RMB for the investment in a project aimed at producing 3 million sets of high-strength large magnesium alloy precision forming parts annually, with a total investment of 700 million RMB. As of November 4, 2025, the company has secured 3.384 billion RMB in orders for the magnesium alloy powertrain casing project, with mass production expected to begin in 2026 [5]. - The company is a leader in semi-solid technology and is positioned to benefit from the growing trend of magnesium alloy applications, having procured five sets of semi-solid magnesium alloy injection molding equipment since 2021. The delivery of a 6600T machine in July 2025 allows for a maximum theoretical injection weight of 38 kg. The company has already completed mass production of various products since 2022, indicating significant marginal changes in the industry [6]. - Profit forecasts for the company estimate net profits attributable to the parent company at 78 million RMB, 154 million RMB, and 230 million RMB for 2025-2027, respectively. The current market capitalization corresponds to a price-to-earnings ratio (PE) of 80, 41, and 27 times for the same years. The company has a robust order backlog, and capacity release is expected to provide continuous growth [7]. Financial Projections - The company's total assets are projected to grow from 1.252 billion RMB in 2024 to 3.787 billion RMB in 2027. Current assets are expected to increase from 750 million RMB to 2.014 billion RMB during the same period [9]. - Revenue is forecasted to rise from 409 million RMB in 2024 to 1.297 billion RMB in 2027, with a corresponding increase in operating profit from 91 million RMB to 261 million RMB [9]. - The net profit margin is expected to fluctuate, with a projected net profit of 80 million RMB in 2024, decreasing to 78 million RMB in 2025, and then increasing to 154 million RMB in 2026 and 230 million RMB in 2027 [10].