Amazon(US:AMZN) 美股研究社·2025-11-13 11:24Core Viewpoint - Amazon has shown a 20% increase over the past year, significantly outperforming benchmark indices, with a forward P/E ratio of 35, indicating investor willingness to pay a premium for its growth potential [1][8]. Financial Performance - Amazon's Q3 2025 financial report revealed that it has exceeded market expectations for both revenue and earnings per share for five consecutive quarters, showcasing strong fundamentals and robust demand [3]. - On the first trading day after the earnings release, Amazon's stock price rose approximately 10% [4]. - North America contributed 59% of total sales, with net sales of $106.3 billion, a year-on-year increase of 11% [4][5]. - International business accounted for 23% of total sales, with net sales of $40.9 billion, reflecting a 14% year-on-year growth [4][6]. - Amazon Web Services (AWS) contributed 18% of total sales, with net sales of $33 billion, marking a 20% year-on-year increase, making it the fastest-growing segment [4][6]. - The company's net profit for Q3 was $17.4 billion, remaining stable year-on-year, primarily impacted by significant expenses related to legal settlements and layoffs [7]. Strategic Initiatives - Amazon is actively investing in artificial intelligence, launching new UltraServers powered by NVIDIA chips for complex AI model training and deployment [7]. - AWS has seen a 150% quarter-on-quarter increase in the adoption rate of its self-developed accelerator chip, Trainium2 [7]. - The AI tool Rufus has served approximately 250 million users this year, enhancing purchase conversion rates by 60% [7]. - Amazon has expanded its same-day delivery service for fresh food to over 1,000 towns in the U.S., with plans to cover about 2,300 towns by year-end [7]. - The company is also entering the sports streaming market, with Prime platform broadcasting NBA games, attracting viewers from around 200 countries [7]. Market Outlook - Analysts project that Amazon's diluted earnings per share will reach $7.04 in 2025, $7.80 in 2026, and $9.48 in 2027, with expected double-digit net profit growth in the coming years [8]. - A conservative estimate suggests a target price of $300 based on a forward P/E ratio of 32, which is 10% lower than the current ratio [8]. Competitive Position - Amazon's strategic initiatives and investments are expected to strengthen its competitive moat and support sustained growth, enhancing global brand recognition and maintaining market leadership [8][11]. - Despite potential risks, including market corrections and high capital expenditures in AI, the overall outlook remains positive, with more favorable factors than negative ones [9][11].