宇通客车：龙头地位稳固，出口拉动业绩

Core Viewpoint - The bus industry is experiencing a strong recovery after years of adjustment, with Yutong Bus showing significant profit growth and robust cash flow, alongside high dividends [4][30]. Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, Yutong Bus achieved a net profit of 1.36 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 79% [4][27]. - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company reported a revenue of 26.37 billion yuan, up 9.5% year-on-year [5]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders reached 3.29 billion yuan, reflecting a 35.4% increase, while the non-recurring net profit was 2.62 billion yuan, up 26.3% [7][27]. - The company's cash flow from operating activities decreased by 60.4% to 1.796 billion yuan, primarily due to increased payments to suppliers [27]. Market Position and Competition - Yutong Bus maintains a leading position in the bus market, with a market share of 35% to 38% since 2018, despite challenges such as overcapacity and intensified competition [11][12]. - The company holds significant market shares in various segments: 49.5% in the seating bus market, 68.9% in the school bus market, and 23.9% in the public transport market [10]. - The domestic bus market is becoming saturated, prompting companies to expand globally, with Yutong's overseas revenue growing nearly 25% in 2022 [14][17]. Growth Drivers - The recovery in demand for buses, particularly in exports and new energy vehicles, has been a key driver of Yutong's performance, with export sales increasing by 78.9% in 2023 [9][17]. - The company has transitioned from a "manufacturing" to a "manufacturing service" model, exporting to over 60 countries and regions [18]. Research and Development - Yutong Bus invests heavily in R&D, with a research expense ratio of 7.8% in 2022, significantly higher than its competitors [22][23]. - The company focuses on key technologies such as electric drive, control, and battery systems, collaborating with leading suppliers to achieve breakthroughs [25]. Dividend Policy - Yutong Bus has a generous dividend policy, with cumulative dividends of 26 billion yuan over 28 years, exceeding its total fundraising amount by 4.2 times [30].