2025年头部企业累计订单超24亿，订单已破2万台，T链确定性或没国产人形高

Group 1 - Tesla has decided to stop collaborating with Chinese suppliers for parts in its US-manufactured vehicles, raising concerns about the impact on its humanoid robot production and iteration [1] - Despite the concerns, some media outlets mock the idea of a complete supply chain decoupling from China, citing the failure of K-ScaleLabs as evidence of the impracticality of such a strategy [1] - Tesla has reduced its annual production target for the Optimus robot from 5,000 units to 2,000 units, indicating a lack of confidence in the US supply chain [1] Group 2 - In China, the industry has moved past the initial stages of vehicle manufacturing and is now focused on securing large orders, with eight companies announcing orders exceeding 100 million yuan or over 1,000 units [3] - Major companies are planning to achieve sales targets in the thousands by 2025, with some already receiving material orders for the first half of next year [3][4] - The domestic supply chain shows strong certainty in the short term, especially with leading companies like Yushun, Zhiyuan, and Leju accelerating their globalization processes and preparing for IPOs [4] Group 3 - The acceleration of humanoid robot orders indicates that products are entering the market and gaining recognition from early adopters [6] - For instance, Zhiyuan Robotics secured a significant order worth 78 million yuan for 200 humanoid robots from China Mobile, to be deployed in various locations [6] - Yubiquitous has received orders exceeding 800 million yuan for its Walker series humanoid robots, with plans to deliver around 500 units this year [8] Group 4 - The price of humanoid robots is expected to decrease significantly, with companies like Yushun and Leju introducing models priced below 50,000 yuan, making them more accessible [15][17] - The emergence of robots priced around 10,000 yuan signals a breakthrough in cost control, potentially leading to wider consumer adoption [19] - Experts predict that the humanoid robot market will see substantial growth, with demand in industrial and commercial sectors expected to reach millions of units by 2030 [22]