Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the unexpected strong performance of Agricultural Bank of China (ABC), which has successfully exited the "broken net" status, contrasting with other state-owned banks that remain in this state. This phenomenon raises questions about the underlying factors contributing to ABC's recovery and whether other banks can follow suit [3][4]. Group 1: Agricultural Bank's Breakthrough - As of November 24, 2025, Agricultural Bank of China is the only one among the six major state-owned banks to surpass the "broken net" status, achieving a price-to-book ratio of 1.03, while others like ICBC, CCB, BOC, BC, and PSBC have ratios of 0.76, 0.74, 0.74, 0.59, and 0.69 respectively [6]. - ABC's performance in the first three quarters of 2025 shows a net profit of 220.86 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 3.03%, leading among the six major banks [6]. - The bank's county financial strategy has proven effective, with county loan balances exceeding 10 trillion yuan, accounting for 40.9% of domestic loans, creating a competitive advantage [6]. Group 2: Factors Contributing to ABC's Success - The decline in deposit rates has intensified asset scarcity, making ABC's consistent dividend yield of 3%-4% attractive to large institutional investors, driving up its stock price [7]. - The "Chinese characteristic valuation" has led to a reassessment of the true value of these state-owned banks, recognizing their essential role in the financial system and justifying a reasonable valuation [7]. - ABC's successful recovery serves as a model for other state-owned banks still in the "broken net" situation, indicating that value recovery is achievable [7].
六大行估值修复,农行破净“上岸”,下一个是谁?