Amazon(US:AMZN) 美股研究社·2025-12-02 11:41Core Viewpoint - Amazon's recent earnings report exceeded expectations, leading to an initial stock price increase of approximately 11%. However, subsequent market changes resulted in a decline, with Amazon becoming the worst performer among the "Big Seven" tech giants this year and over the past year [3][4]. Market Performance - Amazon's stock price has changed by -4.50% since January 31, while other tech giants like Alphabet and Microsoft have seen increases of 13.59% and -4.98%, respectively [10]. - The overall market is facing challenges due to concerns over an "AI bubble," affecting the performance of tech stocks, including Amazon [7]. Macro Environment - The macroeconomic environment is unfavorable, with rising concerns about the AI bubble and a decreased likelihood of interest rate cuts in December, leading to a "sell first, ask questions later" mentality among investors [12]. - Despite these challenges, Amazon's core business, AWS, continues to grow at a double-digit rate, indicating that the company has not lost its competitive edge [12]. Analyst Insights - Analysts believe that the current market volatility presents a buying opportunity for Amazon, as the company is expected to rebound once market narratives around AI become more rational [12]. - Amazon's management plans to automate 600,000 jobs, which is anticipated to enhance profit margins and initiate a cycle of efficiency improvements that the market has not fully accounted for [12]. Cloud Services Collaboration - In November, Google and Amazon announced a partnership to launch a multi-cloud interconnect service, integrating AWS with Google Cloud, which simplifies the connection process for customers [13][14]. - This collaboration is seen as a significant change in the multi-cloud connectivity space, allowing AWS customers to utilize Google’s AI tools without fully migrating to Google Cloud [17]. Valuation Metrics - Amazon's forward P/E ratio stands at 33, which is lower than Nvidia's 38 and Tesla's 335, and is comparable to Microsoft and Google [18]. - The forward enterprise value/sales ratio for Amazon is 3.58, the lowest among its peers, indicating a potential undervaluation compared to Google (9.52) and Meta (8.22) [19]. - Analysts are confident that Amazon's stock price will achieve double-digit growth by the end of 2025, with further upside potential in 2026 [19].