HBM,新变局!搅动存储江湖

Core Viewpoint - The storage industry is undergoing a significant strategic transformation driven by the AI era, with a shift from mass production to precise customization, and from price competition to technological barriers. Companies like Micron, SK Hynix, and Samsung are adapting their strategies to align with these changes, leading to a redefined competitive landscape in the memory market [22]. Group 1: Micron's Strategic Shift - Micron announced the closure of its Crucial consumer brand by February 2026, citing the need to focus on higher-margin data center products due to surging demand driven by AI [2][3]. - The company plans to invest 1.5 trillion yen (approximately $9.6 billion) in a new HBM chip production facility in Hiroshima, Japan, set to begin construction in May 2026, with production expected to start around 2028 [5]. - Micron's current HBM production capacity is significantly lower than its competitors, with only 55,000 wafers per month compared to SK Hynix's 160,000 and Samsung's 150,000 [6][7]. Group 2: SK Hynix's Customization Strategy - SK Hynix has successfully captured 62% of the global HBM market, leveraging a focus on customer customization and agile development processes [9][10]. - The company is expanding its workforce to enhance its custom memory design capabilities, aiming to collaborate closely with clients from the design phase of AI semiconductors [11][12]. - SK Hynix's HBM4 pricing has reportedly increased by over 50%, with expectations of significant profits in the coming year, indicating a strong market position [14]. Group 3: Samsung's Recovery and Expansion - Samsung's HBM market share plummeted to 15% in Q2 2024 but is expected to rebound due to increased orders from Google's TPU ecosystem, with supply volume projected to double next year [16][18]. - The company has restructured its semiconductor division to accelerate HBM4 and HBM4E development, aiming to regain its competitive edge [17][19]. - Samsung's HBM production capacity has recently increased to 170,000 wafers per month, positioning it to capitalize on the growing demand for customized HBM solutions [20]. Group 4: Industry Implications - The shift towards HBM technology signifies a broader change in the storage industry, with traditional DRAM prices soaring and the consumer market becoming less relevant [22]. - Companies that fail to adapt to the new HBM-focused landscape risk marginalization, as the demand for AI infrastructure continues to strain supply chains [22].