Broadcom(US:AVGO) 半导体行业观察·2025-12-15 01:33Core Viewpoint - Broadcom's CEO Hock Tan indicated that silicon photonics technology will not have an immediate impact on data centers, suggesting that the transition to this technology will take time and require two waves of innovation before it becomes essential [2]. Group 1: Silicon Photonics Technology - The CEO believes that the adoption of silicon photonics technology will occur in the future, but it is not imminent. The first wave involves expanding copper interconnect technology for rack-level systems, followed by a second wave of pluggable optical devices that combine electronic and photonic components [2]. - Tan emphasized that the transition to silicon photonics is inevitable but will require time, stating that Broadcom is preparing for this shift through necessary R&D efforts [2]. Group 2: AI Hardware Demand - Broadcom is currently focused on producing AI hardware to fulfill a backlog of orders valued at $73 billion, with over $50 billion coming from large-scale customers ordering custom AI accelerators, referred to as "XPUs" [3]. - The CEO expressed confidence in the sustained demand for AI hardware, countering claims of a cooling market, and highlighted a recent $1 billion XPU order from a new customer and an additional $11 billion order from Anthropic [3]. Group 3: Financial Performance - In the fourth quarter, Broadcom's semiconductor business revenue reached $11 billion, a 35% year-over-year increase, with $6.7 billion attributed to AI products, marking a tenfold growth in AI hardware revenue in less than three years [4]. - The company's infrastructure software business generated $6.9 billion in revenue, up 19% year-over-year, primarily driven by VMware software sales, which are expected to maintain low double-digit growth until 2026 [4]. - The CEO projected that the semiconductor business will continue to drive rapid growth, with first-quarter revenue expectations for fiscal year 2026 set at $19.1 billion, reflecting a 28% increase [4]. Group 4: Stock Market Reaction - Following the earnings announcement, Broadcom's stock price initially rose by approximately 3% but quickly fell by 5% [5].