LONCIN(SH:603766) 汽车琰究·2026-01-18 16:03Core Viewpoint - The company expects significant growth in its 2025 annual performance, projecting a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.65 to 1.8 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 47.2% to 60.5% [2]. Group 1: Performance Forecast - The company anticipates a net profit of 1.65 to 1.8 billion yuan for 2025, with a growth rate of 47.2% to 60.5% year-on-year. The expected non-recurring net profit is projected to be between 1.6 to 1.75 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 46.0% to 59.7% [2]. - For Q4 2025, the company estimates a net profit of approximately 150 million yuan, which is a decline of 33.6% year-on-year and 70.6% quarter-on-quarter. The non-recurring net profit for the same quarter is also expected to be around 150 million yuan, down 42.3% year-on-year and 70.4% quarter-on-quarter [3]. Group 2: Employee Stock Ownership Plan - In December 2025, the company announced an employee stock ownership plan with a scale not exceeding 400 million yuan, which corresponds to approximately 2.594 million shares, accounting for 1.3% of the total share capital. The performance assessment conditions for 2026 to 2028 are set to achieve revenue growth targets for self-owned brands [4]. Group 3: Motorcycle Sales Growth - The company projects sales of large-displacement motorcycles to reach 108,000 units in 2024 and 141,000 units in 2025, with year-on-year growth rates of 43.1% and 31.2%, respectively. Export sales are expected to be 51,000 units in 2024 and 90,000 units in 2025, with growth rates of 24.8% and 76.9% [5]. - The company's brand, Wujin, has made significant inroads in the European market, with sales in Spain reaching 15,000 units from January to November 2025, marking an increase of 80.7% year-on-year. In Italy, sales for the same period grew by 96.5% year-on-year [5]. Group 4: Financial Projections - The company forecasts revenues of 20.158 billion yuan for 2025, with a growth rate of 19.8%. The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to be 1.767 billion yuan, reflecting a growth rate of 57.6% [7]. - The projected earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is 0.86 yuan, with a price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of 18 times based on the closing price on January 16, 2026 [6][7].