Tesla(US:TSLA) 国泰海通证券研究·2026-01-25 14:03Core Viewpoint - Elon Musk announced that SpaceX and Tesla plan to deploy a combined solar capacity of 200GW, which is expected to benefit equipment manufacturers first [1][2]. Group 1: Solar Capacity Expansion - The demand for solar capacity is driven by the commercial launch of low-orbit satellites and the trend of space computing, with core equipment manufacturers likely to benefit first [2]. - Musk stated that SpaceX and Tesla aim to achieve an annual production capacity of 100GW each within the next three years [2]. - The stable solar energy generation in space, less affected by weather, provides a significant advantage for low-orbit satellite constellations and space AI computing centers [2]. Group 2: Data Center and Energy Storage - The demand for stable, low-cost, and quickly replicable solar and energy storage configurations is accelerating due to the increasing computational needs of data centers [2]. - The development of low-orbit satellites and space computing is pushing space solar power into the industrialization verification phase, raising requirements for battery efficiency, lightweight, and flexibility [2]. Group 3: Solar Technology Trends - P-type HJT and perovskite tandem cells are expected to become core technology routes for space solar power [3]. - Multi-junction gallium arsenide cells currently dominate the market but face challenges in cost and production capacity for low-orbit applications [3]. - P-type HJT technology has mass production experience and potential for lightweight applications, while perovskite tandem cells offer high efficiency and flexibility, with potential breakthroughs needed for commercialization [3].